If it wins its remaining games, UTSA makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, UTSA makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UTSA making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 112 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UL Lafayette (60) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, UTSA misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UTSA missing the playoffs.
(25)UTSA opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 109 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Cincinnati (72) | Big 12Big 12 | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 97 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Eastern Michigan (45) | MACMAC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Ole Miss (110) | SECSEC | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |