PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

UTSA Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, UTSA will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 54% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, UTSA makes the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UTSA making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (25)UTSA opponents win (SOS related)
UTSA Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Toledo (26) MACMAC 98 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 96 13 0 - - 100%
3 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Ball State (3) MACMAC 91 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
6 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 86 11 2 - - X
7 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 84 10 2 - - X
8 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
9 Ohio (21) MACMAC 84 9 3 - - X
10 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 84 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, UTSA misses the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UTSA missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (25)UTSA opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (25)UTSA does not plays in the Am. Athletic Championship Game
  • (44)Charlotte wins the Am. Athletic Championship
UTSA Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 94 12 1 - - X
6 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 92 13 0 - - X
7 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 92 12 1 - - X
8 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 90 11 1 - - X
9 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 88 13 0 - - X
10 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 86 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot