PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Western Michigan Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Western Michigan will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 59% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Western Michigan makes the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Western Michigan making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (17)Western Michigan opponents win (SOS related)
Western Michigan Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 100 12 1 - - 100%
2 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 96 12 1 - - 100%
4 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Kent State (15) MACMAC 94 11 1 - - X
6 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 91 12 1 - - X
7 Toledo (26) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - X
8 Texas (133) SECSEC 89 11 2 - - X
9 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 3 - - X
10 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 87 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Western Michigan misses the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Western Michigan missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (17)Western Michigan opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (17)Western Michigan does not plays in the MAC Championship Game
  • (16)Miami OH wins the MAC Championship
Western Michigan Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 104 12 1 - - 100%
2 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 101 13 0 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 94 11 1 - - X
6 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 92 12 1 - - X
7 Florida (84) SECSEC 91 12 1 - - X
8 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 90 11 2 - - X
9 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - X
10 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot