The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (6‑3) vs Vikings (4‑5) |
51 | Bears Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 50% | ||
| Giants (2‑8) vs Packers (5‑3‑1) |
6 | Giants Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Packers Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 42% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (6‑4) |
5 | Cardinals Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 41% | ||
| Bills (6‑3) vs Buccaneers (6‑3) |
4 | Bills Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 41% | ||
| Eagles (7‑2) vs Lions (6‑3) |
3 | Eagles Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Lions Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 41% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑5‑1) vs Raiders (2‑7) |
1 | Cowboys Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 40% | ||
| Falcons (3‑6) vs Panthers (5‑5) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 40% | ||
| Dolphins (3‑7) vs Commanders (3‑7) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Rams (7‑2) vs Seahawks (7‑2) |
0 | Rams Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 40% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 41% | ||