The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (4‑2) vs Ravens (1‑5) |
31 | Bears Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 59% | ||
| Steelers (4‑2) vs Packers (4‑1‑1) |
8 | Steelers Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Packers Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Saints (1‑6) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
5 | Saints Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Lions (4‑2) vs Buccaneers (5‑1) |
3 | Lions Wins | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑6) vs Falcons (3‑3) |
2 | Dolphins Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Chargers (4‑3) vs Vikings (3‑3) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 52% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Seahawks (4‑2) |
2 | Texans Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Chiefs (4‑3) vs Commanders (3‑4) |
2 | Chiefs Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Bills (4‑2) vs Panthers (4‑3) |
1 | Bills Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 50% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑3‑1) vs Broncos (5‑2) |
1 | Cowboys Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Texans (2‑3) vs Forty-Niners49ers (5‑2) |
0 | Texans Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Giants (2‑5) vs Eagles (5‑2) |
0 | Giants Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 51% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 50% | ||