The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (4‑5) vs Packers (6‑3) |
4 | Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Titans (2‑7) vs Vikings (7‑2) |
1 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Saints (3‑7) |
0 | Browns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Patriots (3‑7) vs Rams (4‑5) |
0 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Texans (6‑4) vs Cowboys (3‑6) |
0 | Texans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Seahawks (4‑5) vs Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑4) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Falcons (6‑4) vs Broncos (5‑5) |
0 | Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Lions (8‑1) vs Jaguars (2‑8) |
0 | Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||