The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (6‑2) vs Buccaneers (3‑5) |
41 | Bears Wins | 11% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 5% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 30% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑6) vs Lions (5‑2) |
9 | Dolphins Wins | 11% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Lions Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 21% | ||
| Patriots (5‑3) vs Packers (5‑3) |
9 | Patriots Wins | 11% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Packers Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 21% | ||
| Bills (6‑1) vs Vikings (6‑1) |
9 | Bills Wins | 11% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Raiders (4‑4) vs Forty-Niners49ers (6‑1) |
9 | Raiders Wins | 12% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Colts (2‑6) vs Cowboys (3‑5) |
4 | Colts Wins | 11% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 21% | ||
| Eagles (2‑6) vs Giants (4‑2‑1) |
4 | Eagles Wins | 10% | 9% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Giants Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Falcons (3‑5) vs Bengals (5‑2) |
3 | Falcons Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 20% | ||
| Commanders (2‑4‑1) vs Rams (4‑4) |
2 | Commanders Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Rams Wins | 11% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 21% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑5) vs Seahawks (4‑4) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Saints (2‑5) vs Browns (5‑3) |
0 | Saints Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Browns Wins | 10% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 20% | ||
| Panthers (3‑4) vs Broncos (6‑2) |
0 | Panthers Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 20% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 10% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 21% | ||