The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (9‑4) vs Patriots (11‑2) |
42 | Bills Wins | 3% | 14% | 4% | <1% | 55% | 19% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Patriots Wins | X | X | X | X | 31% | 41% | 23% | 5% | ||
| Jets (3‑10) vs Jaguars (9‑4) |
5 | Jets Wins | 2% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 45% | 30% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 37% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑7) vs Chargers (9‑4) |
4 | Chiefs Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 46% | 28% | 13% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 31% | 34% | 21% | 4% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑10) vs Texans (8‑5) |
3 | Cardinals Wins | 2% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 45% | 31% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Texans Wins | 1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 37% | 31% | 18% | 4% | ||
| Packers (9‑3‑1) vs Broncos (11‑2) |
3 | Packers Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 39% | 30% | 16% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 37% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Seahawks (10‑3) vs Colts (8‑5) |
2 | Seahawks Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 39% | 32% | 17% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Colts Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 30% | 17% | 5% | ||
| Steelers (7‑6) vs Dolphins (6‑7) |
1 | Steelers Wins | 2% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 31% | 17% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 1% | 7% | 2% | X | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Bengals (4‑9) vs Ravens (6‑7) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 2% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 2% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 31% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Bears (9‑4) vs Browns (3‑10) |
0 | Bears Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Browns Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Eagles (8‑5) vs Raiders (2‑11) |
0 | Eagles Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (9‑4) vs Titans (2‑11) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||
| Titans Wins | 1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 4% | ||