The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (8‑2) vs Chiefs (9‑0) |
66 | Bills Wins | 19% | 43% | 30% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | <1% | 28% | 51% | 19% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens (7‑3) vs Steelers (7‑2) |
6 | Ravens Wins | 12% | 34% | 37% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 10% | 36% | 39% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑6) vs Texans (6‑4) |
5 | Cowboys Wins | 11% | 35% | 44% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 10% | 32% | 38% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lions (8‑1) vs Jaguars (2‑8) |
2 | Lions Wins | 11% | 32% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 10% | 33% | 40% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rams (4‑5) vs Patriots (3‑7) |
2 | Rams Wins | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 10% | 34% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Falcons (6‑4) vs Broncos (5‑5) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 11% | 34% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 11% | 33% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑7) vs Colts (4‑6) |
1 | Jets Wins | 11% | 32% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 10% | 33% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑7) vs Dolphins (3‑6) |
1 | Raiders Wins | 11% | 32% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 11% | 33% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑6) vs Chargers (6‑3) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 11% | 34% | 41% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Saints (3‑7) |
1 | Browns Wins | 10% | 33% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Saints Wins | 10% | 33% | 40% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Titans (2‑7) vs Vikings (7‑2) |
0 | Titans Wins | 11% | 33% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 33% | 40% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 11% | 33% | 41% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||