The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (4‑2) vs Panthers (4‑3) |
28 | Bills Wins | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 42% | ||
| Browns (2‑5) vs Patriots (5‑2) |
9 | Browns Wins | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Titans (1‑6) vs Colts (6‑1) |
5 | Titans Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Colts Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Packers (4‑1‑1) vs Steelers (4‑2) |
3 | Packers Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (5‑2) vs Texans (2‑4) |
3 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Texans Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑3‑1) vs Broncos (5‑2) |
2 | Cowboys Wins | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Bears (4‑2) vs Ravens (1‑5) |
2 | Bears Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Commanders (3‑4) vs Chiefs (4‑3) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Jets (0‑7) vs Bengals (3‑4) |
1 | Jets Wins | 5% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Falcons (3‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑6) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 39% | ||