The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (7‑3) vs Texans (5‑5) |
42 | Bills Wins | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 50% | 20% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Texans Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 29% | 24% | 17% | 20% | ||
| Bengals (3‑7) vs Patriots (9‑2) |
15 | Bengals Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 32% | 20% | 13% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | <1% | 40% | 21% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Chiefs (5‑5) vs Colts (8‑2) |
4 | Chiefs Wins | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 38% | 20% | 12% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Colts Wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑7) vs Jaguars (6‑4) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 40% | 20% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 37% | 20% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Bears (7‑3) vs Steelers (6‑4) |
2 | Bears Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 37% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Seahawks (7‑3) vs Titans (1‑9) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 20% | 13% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Titans Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Jets (2‑8) vs Ravens (5‑5) |
1 | Jets Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 37% | 21% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Raiders (2‑8) vs Browns (2‑8) |
1 | Raiders Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Browns Wins | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% | ||