The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (3‑1) vs Rams (2‑2) |
29 | Bills Wins | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Rams Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 48% | ||
| Raiders (3‑1) vs Patriots (2‑2) |
5 | Raiders Wins | 7% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Bengals (2‑2) vs Dolphins (0‑4) |
3 | Bengals Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Eagles (2‑2) vs Jaguars (3‑1) |
3 | Eagles Wins | 7% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Falcons (2‑2) vs Ravens (3‑1) |
2 | Falcons Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Chargers (0‑4) vs Broncos (2‑2) |
2 | Chargers Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Texans (0‑4) vs Titans (0‑4) |
1 | Texans Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Titans Wins | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Browns (3‑1) vs Jets (1‑3) |
1 | Browns Wins | 6% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Jets Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Steelers (2‑2) vs Colts (2‑2) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 7% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Colts Wins | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||