The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (4‑0) vs Patriots (2‑2) |
61 | Bills Wins | 30% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 18% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 21% | ||
| Commanders (2‑2) vs Chargers (3‑1) |
7 | Commanders Wins | 29% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% | ||
| Panthers (1‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑3) |
5 | Panthers Wins | 28% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Raiders (1‑3) vs Colts (3‑1) |
4 | Raiders Wins | 28% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Colts Wins | 26% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% | ||
| Chiefs (2‑2) vs Jaguars (3‑1) |
4 | Chiefs Wins | 28% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% | ||
| Jets (0‑4) vs Cowboys (1‑2‑1) |
2 | Jets Wins | 28% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Titans (0‑4) vs Cardinals (2‑2) |
2 | Titans Wins | 28% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% | ||
| Texans (1‑3) vs Ravens (1‑3) |
1 | Texans Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Browns (1‑3) vs Vikings (2‑2) |
1 | Browns Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% | ||
| Broncos (2‑2) vs Eagles (4‑0) |
0 | Broncos Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 17% | ||
| Lions (3‑1) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
0 | Lions Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 27% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||