The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (4‑1) vs Ravens (3‑2) |
36 | Commanders Wins | 16% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 9% | 18% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Saints (2‑3) vs Buccaneers (3‑2) |
5 | Saints Wins | 14% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 13% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Bengals (1‑4) vs Giants (2‑3) |
5 | Bengals Wins | 13% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Giants Wins | 13% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Browns (1‑4) vs Eagles (2‑2) |
3 | Browns Wins | 14% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 13% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Panthers (1‑4) vs Falcons (3‑2) |
2 | Panthers Wins | 13% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 13% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Jaguars (1‑4) vs Bears (3‑2) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | 13% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Bears Wins | 13% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑3) vs Packers (3‑2) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 14% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Packers Wins | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers (2‑3) vs Seahawks (3‑2) |
1 | Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | 14% | 20% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 14% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑2) vs Lions (3‑1) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | 15% | 18% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Lions Wins | 13% | 21% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 29% | ||