The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (3‑5) vs Seahawks (5‑2) |
11 | Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 94% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑5) vs Cowboys (3‑4‑1) |
2 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 90% | ||
| Saints (1‑7) vs Rams (5‑2) |
1 | Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Packers (5‑1‑1) vs Panthers (4‑4) |
1 | Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 90% | ||
| Giants (2‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (5‑3) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 90% | ||
| Bengals (3‑5) vs Bears (4‑3) |
0 | Bengals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 90% | ||
| Patriots (6‑2) vs Falcons (3‑4) |
0 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 90% | ||
| Lions (5‑2) vs Vikings (3‑4) |
0 | Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 89% | ||