The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (1‑3‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (5‑0) |
15 | Commanders Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Packers (3‑2) vs Cowboys (2‑3) |
2 | Packers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Panthers (2‑2) vs Eagles (2‑3) |
1 | Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Steelers (3‑2) vs Buccaneers (1‑4) |
1 | Steelers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||
| Saints (1‑4) vs Giants (3‑1‑1) |
1 | Saints Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Cardinals (1‑4) vs Rams (2‑3) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Falcons (2‑3) vs Bears (3‑2) |
0 | Falcons Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 81% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 82% | ||