The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (2‑4‑1) vs Rams (4‑4) |
15 | Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 90% | ||
| Eagles (2‑6) vs Giants (4‑2‑1) |
5 | Eagles Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 85% | ||
| Colts (2‑6) vs Cowboys (3‑5) |
3 | Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 85% | ||
| Bengals (5‑2) vs Falcons (3‑5) |
1 | Bengals Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Falcons Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Browns (5‑3) vs Saints (2‑5) |
1 | Browns Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Saints Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Bears (6‑2) vs Buccaneers (3‑5) |
1 | Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Patriots (5‑3) vs Packers (5‑3) |
1 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑6) vs Lions (5‑2) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Broncos (6‑2) vs Panthers (3‑4) |
1 | Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑5) vs Seahawks (4‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (6‑1) vs Raiders (4‑4) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Raiders Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Bills (6‑1) vs Vikings (6‑1) |
0 | Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 6% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | 7% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 84% | ||