The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (3‑2) vs Bears (2‑2) |
29 | Commanders Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Bears Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Giants (1‑4) vs Eagles (4‑1) |
7 | Giants Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Jaguars (4‑1) vs Seahawks (3‑2) |
3 | Jaguars Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Ravens (1‑4) vs Rams (3‑2) |
2 | Ravens Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rams Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Colts (4‑1) vs Cardinals (2‑3) |
2 | Colts Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Bills (4‑1) vs Falcons (2‑2) |
2 | Bills Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Panthers (2‑3) vs Cowboys (2‑2‑1) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Bengals (2‑3) vs Packers (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Packers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Chiefs (2‑3) vs Lions (4‑1) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Lions Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Patriots (3‑2) vs Saints (1‑4) |
0 | Patriots Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Saints Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Buccaneers (4‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (4‑1) |
0 | Buccaneers Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||