PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Oct 8 5:45 pm

NFL - Week 6 of 18

Commanders What If?

The Commanders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Commanders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Commanders What If?

Next Game - Bears (2‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 2 0 4% 7% 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 51%
Current Standings 3 2 0 3% 6% 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 55%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 1% 4% 6% 9% 4% 6% 7% 63%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 4% 8% 9% 10% 5% 7% 7% 50%
Current Standings 3% 6% 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 55%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 6% 9% 4% 6% 7% 63%
Best Case Scenario
   Giants beats Eagles
   Commanders beats Bears
Worst Case Scenario
   Eagles beats Giants
   Bears beats Commanders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
12 of 12 100% 15 2 0 76% 24% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 12 92% 14 3 0 43% 46% 9% 1% 1% <1% ^ ^
10 of 12 83% 13 4 0 13% 40% 29% 6% 11% 1% <1% <1%
9 of 12 75% 12 5 0 1% 14% 33% 18% 22% 10% 1% <1%
8 of 12 67% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 14% 26% 15% 26% 14% 3%
7 of 12 58% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 3% 19% 4% 16% 28% 30%
6 of 12 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 8% <1% 2% 12% 77%
5 of 12 42% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 97%
4 of 12 33% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 12 25% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 12 17% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
1 of 12 8% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 12 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs