PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Oct 24 8:00 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Commanders What If?

The Commanders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Commanders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Commanders What If?

Next Game - Chiefs (4‑3)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 10% 1% 3% 4% 77%
Current Standings 3 4 0 <1% 1% 2% 8% 1% 2% 4% 82%
Lose Next Game 3 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 7% <1% 1% 3% 87%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 4% 14% 1% 2% 3% 75%
Current Standings <1% 1% 2% 8% 1% 2% 4% 82%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 2% 6% <1% 2% 3% 87%
Best Case Scenario
   Giants beats Eagles
   Broncos beats Cowboys
   Commanders beats Chiefs
Worst Case Scenario
   Eagles beats Giants
   Cowboys beats Broncos
   Chiefs beats Commanders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 13 4 0 19% 45% 29% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 12 5 0 2% 18% 40% 28% 8% 4% <1% <1%
8 of 10 80% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 17% 43% 8% 17% 11% 3%
7 of 10 70% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 29% 1% 10% 22% 36%
6 of 10 60% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 11% <1% 1% 5% 82%
5 of 10 50% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% 97%
4 of 10 40% 7 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 10 30% 6 11 0 X X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 10 20% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 10 10% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 10 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs