PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Sep 30 12:30 am

NFL - Week 5 of 18

Eagles What If?

The Eagles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Eagles play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eagles What If?

Next Game - Broncos (2‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 0 0 40% 17% 13% 7% 5% 5% 4% 8%
Current Standings 4 0 0 38% 17% 13% 8% 5% 5% 4% 10%
Lose Next Game 4 1 0 28% 18% 15% 10% 5% 5% 5% 13%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 42% 18% 12% 8% 4% 4% 3% 8%
Current Standings 38% 17% 13% 8% 5% 5% 4% 10%
Worst Case Scenario 27% 17% 15% 9% 6% 6% 5% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Eagles beats Broncos
   Bengals beats Lions
   Chargers beats Commanders
Worst Case Scenario
   Broncos beats Eagles
   Lions beats Bengals
   Commanders beats Chargers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
13 of 13 100% 17 0 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 16 1 0 97% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 15 2 0 83% 17% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
10 of 13 77% 14 3 0 50% 42% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% ^
9 of 13 69% 13 4 0 16% 47% 27% 4% 5% 1% <1% <1%
8 of 13 62% 12 5 0 2% 23% 41% 15% 12% 6% 1% <1%
7 of 13 54% 11 6 0 <1% 4% 28% 29% 11% 17% 8% 2%
6 of 13 46% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 10% 28% 4% 16% 23% 18%
5 of 13 38% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 2% 17% 1% 5% 17% 59%
4 of 13 31% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 8% <1% <1% 3% 89%
3 of 13 23% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
2 of 13 15% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 13 8% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 13 0% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs