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Mon Sep 28 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 4 of 18

Eagles What If?

The Eagles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Eagles play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eagles What If?

Next Game - Rams (1‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 3 1 0 7% 12% 13% 8% 5% 6% 7% 42%
Current Standings 2 1 0 7% 11% 12% 8% 4% 6% 6% 45%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 3% 9% 12% 9% 4% 6% 6% 51%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 9% 13% 13% 8% 5% 7% 7% 40%
Current Standings 7% 11% 12% 8% 4% 6% 6% 45%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 8% 12% 9% 4% 5% 6% 53%
Best Case Scenario
   Colts beats Commanders
   Eagles beats Rams
   Dolphins beats Vikings
Worst Case Scenario
   Commanders beats Colts
   Rams beats Eagles
   Vikings beats Dolphins
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
14 of 14 100% 16 1 0 85% 15% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 14 93% 15 2 0 61% 37% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 14 86% 14 3 0 32% 54% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% ^
11 of 14 79% 13 4 0 10% 48% 31% 4% 6% 2% <1% <1%
10 of 14 71% 12 5 0 1% 20% 40% 14% 13% 10% 2% <1%
9 of 14 64% 11 6 0 <1% 4% 26% 24% 11% 21% 11% 3%
8 of 14 57% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 9% 23% 4% 17% 25% 23%
7 of 14 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 2% 14% <1% 5% 17% 62%
6 of 14 43% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% 3% 90%
5 of 14 36% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% 98%
4 of 14 29% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 14 21% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 14 14% 4 13 0 X X X <1% X X X >99%
1 of 14 7% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 14 0% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs