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Thu Oct 8 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 5 of 18

Forty-Niners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Forty-Niners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Forty-Niners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Forty-Niners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Forty-Niners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Forty-Niners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Forty-Niners49ers
(4‑0)

vs
Seahawks
(3‑1)
62 Forty-Niners49ers Wins 31% 18% 11% 7% 7% 7% 6% 14%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Seahawks Wins 19% 15% 9% 6% 11% 9% 8% 24%
Saints
(1‑3)

vs
Vikings
(4‑0)
7 Saints Wins 29% 13% 9% 6% 9% 7% 6% 21%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Vikings Wins 26% 16% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 21%
Packers
(2‑2)

vs
Bears
(3‑1)
5 Packers Wins 28% 15% 9% 5% 9% 7% 6% 21%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Bears Wins 27% 16% 9% 5% 9% 7% 6% 21%
Commanders
(1‑3)

vs
Giants
(3‑1)
5 Commanders Wins 28% 16% 8% 5% 9% 7% 6% 20%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Giants Wins 27% 15% 9% 6% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Bills
(3‑1)

vs
Rams
(2‑2)
4 Bills Wins 28% 16% 10% 6% 8% 7% 6% 20%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Rams Wins 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Cardinals
(1‑3)

vs
Lions
(2‑2)
1 Cardinals Wins 28% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Lions Wins 27% 16% 9% 6% 9% 8% 6% 20%
Jaguars
(3‑1)

vs
Eagles
(2‑2)
1 Jaguars Wins 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Eagles Wins 27% 15% 9% 6% 9% 8% 6% 21%
Ravens
(3‑1)

vs
Falcons
(2‑2)
0 Ravens Wins 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Current Probabilities 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 8% 7% 20%
Falcons Wins 27% 15% 9% 5% 9% 7% 6% 21%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs