PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Oct 21 1:45 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Forty-Niners What If?

The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Forty-Niners What If?

Next Game - Texans (2‑4)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 6 2 0 17% 15% 11% 6% 16% 11% 8% 17%
Current Standings 5 2 0 15% 14% 10% 6% 15% 11% 8% 22%
Lose Next Game 5 3 0 8% 11% 10% 6% 15% 12% 9% 28%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 22% 14% 9% 5% 17% 10% 8% 16%
Current Standings 15% 14% 10% 6% 15% 11% 8% 22%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 11% 11% 7% 13% 12% 10% 29%
Best Case Scenario
   Forty-Niners beats Texans
   Saints beats Buccaneers
   Steelers beats Packers
Worst Case Scenario
   Texans beats Forty-Niners
   Buccaneers beats Saints
   Packers beats Steelers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 15 2 0 86% 14% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 14 3 0 58% 34% 6% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 13 4 0 23% 38% 22% 3% 14% 1% <1% <1%
7 of 10 70% 12 5 0 3% 17% 27% 11% 33% 9% 1% <1%
6 of 10 60% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 12% 15% 27% 30% 12% 2%
5 of 10 50% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 9% 6% 24% 32% 27%
4 of 10 40% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% 4% 16% 77%
3 of 10 30% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
2 of 10 20% 7 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 6 11 0 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 10 0% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs