The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (3‑1) vs Chiefs (2‑2) |
46 | Jaguars Wins | 15% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Raiders (1‑3) vs Colts (3‑1) |
7 | Raiders Wins | 14% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Colts Wins | 14% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Patriots (2‑2) vs Bills (4‑0) |
7 | Patriots Wins | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Bills Wins | 13% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Commanders (2‑2) vs Chargers (3‑1) |
4 | Commanders Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 13% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 28% | ||
| Panthers (1‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑3) |
2 | Panthers Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Browns (1‑3) vs Vikings (2‑2) |
1 | Browns Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Lions (3‑1) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
1 | Lions Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Ravens (1‑3) vs Texans (1‑3) |
1 | Ravens Wins | 13% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Texans Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Cowboys (1‑2‑1) vs Jets (0‑4) |
1 | Cowboys Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Jets Wins | 13% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Broncos (2‑2) vs Eagles (4‑0) |
1 | Broncos Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 13% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑2) vs Titans (0‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 13% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% | ||
| Titans Wins | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 29% | ||