The Jaguars What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Jaguars play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 35% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 24% |
| Current Standings | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 35% |
|
Best Case Scenario Raiders beats Colts Patriots beats Bills Jaguars beats Chiefs |
Worst Case Scenario Colts beats Raiders Bills beats Patriots Chiefs beats Jaguars |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 68% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 42% | 44% | 11% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 15% | 42% | 28% | 5% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 19% | 35% | 17% | 20% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 29% | 20% | 18% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 9% | 24% | 21% | 10% |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 45% |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 84% |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 98% |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |