The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (2‑2) vs Bills (4‑0) |
35 | Patriots Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Bills Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 58% | ||
| Raiders (1‑3) vs Colts (3‑1) |
3 | Raiders Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Colts Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cowboys (1‑2‑1) vs Jets (0‑4) |
2 | Cowboys Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Jets Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Eagles (4‑0) vs Broncos (2‑2) |
2 | Eagles Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Jaguars (3‑1) vs Chiefs (2‑2) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Vikings (2‑2) vs Browns (1‑3) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Browns Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Panthers (1‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑3) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Commanders (2‑2) vs Chargers (3‑1) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Texans (1‑3) vs Ravens (1‑3) |
0 | Texans Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑2) vs Titans (0‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Titans Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Lions (3‑1) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
0 | Lions Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 54% | ||