The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (7‑2) vs Buccaneers (6‑2) |
62 | Patriots Wins | 32% | 24% | 14% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 16% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Raiders (2‑6) vs Broncos (7‑2) |
19 | Raiders Wins | 28% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 21% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Dolphins (2‑7) vs Bills (6‑2) |
19 | Dolphins Wins | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bills Wins | 22% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Falcons (3‑5) vs Colts (7‑2) |
16 | Falcons Wins | 27% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Colts Wins | 21% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Texans (3‑5) vs Jaguars (5‑3) |
6 | Texans Wins | 24% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 22% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Chargers (6‑3) vs Steelers (5‑3) |
1 | Chargers Wins | 23% | 22% | 16% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 23% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Vikings (4‑4) vs Ravens (3‑5) |
1 | Vikings Wins | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 23% | 20% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Browns (2‑6) vs Jets (1‑7) |
0 | Browns Wins | 23% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Jets Wins | 23% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | ||