The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (5‑3) vs Packers (5‑3) |
41 | Patriots Wins | 6% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Packers Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 39% | ||
| Vikings (6‑1) vs Bills (6‑1) |
15 | Vikings Wins | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Bills Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 32% | ||
| Ravens (4‑4) vs Jaguars (5‑2) |
5 | Ravens Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Saints (2‑5) vs Browns (5‑3) |
4 | Saints Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Browns Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Falcons (3‑5) vs Bengals (5‑2) |
3 | Falcons Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Chargers (0‑7) vs Texans (2‑5) |
3 | Chargers Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Texans Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (6‑1) vs Raiders (4‑4) |
2 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 32% | ||
| Panthers (3‑4) vs Broncos (6‑2) |
2 | Panthers Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Jets (2‑6) vs Chiefs (5‑2) |
2 | Jets Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 31% | ||
| Dolphins (1‑6) vs Lions (5‑2) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Lions Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Colts (2‑6) vs Cowboys (3‑5) |
0 | Colts Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 31% | ||