PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Feb 27 3:00 am

NHL - Week 21 of 28

Canucks What If?

The Canucks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Canucks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Canucks What If?

Next Game - Penguins (26‑21‑8)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 39 16 6 84 79% 16% 4% - - - 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 38 16 6 82 77% 18% 4% - - - 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 38 17 6 82 71% 22% 6% - - - 1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 81% 16% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 77% 18% 4% - - - 1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 71% 21% 6% - - - 1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Maple Leafs beats Golden Knights
   Flames beats Kings
   Canucks beats Penguins
Worst Case Scenario
   Golden Knights beats Maple Leafs
   Kings beats Flames
   Penguins beats Canucks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
22 of 22 100% 60 16 6 126 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
20 of 22 91% 58 18 6 122 >99% <1% ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
15 of 22 68% 53 23 6 112 97% 3% <1% - - - <1% ^ ^
14 of 22 64% 52 24 6 110 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
13 of 22 59% 51 25 6 108 84% 16% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
12 of 22 55% 50 26 6 106 72% 27% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
11 of 22 50% 49 27 6 104 54% 41% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
10 of 22 45% 48 28 6 102 35% 51% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
9 of 22 41% 47 29 6 100 19% 51% 27% - - - 4% <1% <1%
8 of 22 36% 46 30 6 98 8% 39% 42% - - - 10% 2% <1%
7 of 22 32% 45 31 6 96 2% 22% 47% - - - 20% 8% 1%
6 of 22 27% 44 32 6 94 <1% 8% 39% - - - 22% 23% 7%
5 of 22 23% 43 33 6 92 <1% 2% 22% - - - 16% 36% 25%
4 of 22 18% 42 34 6 90 <1% <1% 9% - - - 6% 30% 54%
3 of 22 14% 41 35 6 88 <1% <1% 2% - - - 2% 15% 81%
2 of 22 9% 40 36 6 86 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% 4% 95%
0 of 22 0% 38 38 6 82 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs