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Fri Oct 2 4:30 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Islanders What If?

The Islanders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Islanders play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Islanders What If?

Next Game - Devils (1‑0‑0)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 1 1 0 2 7% 11% 12% - - - 6% 6% 56%
Current Standings 0 1 0 0 7% 11% 12% - - - 6% 6% 57%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 0 6% 11% 12% - - - 7% 7% 58%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 7% 11% 13% - - - 6% 7% 57%
Current Standings 7% 11% 12% - - - 6% 6% 57%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 11% 12% - - - 6% 6% 59%
Best Case Scenario
   Senators beats Maple Leafs
   Islanders beats Devils
 Worst Case Scenario
   Maple Leafs beats Senators
   Devils beats Islanders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
83 of 83 100% 83 1 0 166 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
80 of 83 96% 80 4 0 160 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
71 of 83 86% 71 13 0 142 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
70 of 83 84% 70 14 0 140 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 83 83% 69 15 0 138 83% 16% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 83 82% 68 16 0 136 77% 21% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 83 81% 67 17 0 134 70% 27% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 83 80% 66 18 0 132 62% 33% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 83 78% 65 19 0 130 53% 38% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
64 of 83 77% 64 20 0 128 46% 42% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
63 of 83 76% 63 21 0 126 38% 44% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
62 of 83 75% 62 22 0 124 31% 46% 20% - - - 3% <1% <1%
61 of 83 73% 61 23 0 122 25% 44% 25% - - - 5% 1% <1%
60 of 83 72% 60 24 0 120 20% 42% 29% - - - 7% 1% <1%
59 of 83 71% 59 25 0 118 16% 40% 31% - - - 11% 1% <1%
58 of 83 70% 58 26 0 116 13% 38% 34% - - - 12% 2% <1%
57 of 83 69% 57 27 0 114 10% 33% 36% - - - 16% 3% <1%
56 of 83 67% 56 28 0 112 8% 32% 36% - - - 18% 5% 1%
55 of 83 66% 55 29 0 110 7% 27% 37% - - - 21% 7% 1%
54 of 83 65% 54 30 0 108 5% 25% 38% - - - 22% 8% 2%
53 of 83 64% 53 31 0 106 4% 21% 35% - - - 24% 12% 3%
52 of 83 63% 52 32 0 104 3% 18% 36% - - - 24% 14% 5%
51 of 83 61% 51 33 0 102 3% 16% 33% - - - 25% 17% 6%
50 of 83 60% 50 34 0 100 2% 14% 32% - - - 24% 19% 9%
49 of 83 59% 49 35 0 98 2% 12% 30% - - - 23% 21% 12%
48 of 83 58% 48 36 0 96 1% 10% 27% - - - 22% 24% 16%
47 of 83 57% 47 37 0 94 1% 8% 26% - - - 20% 24% 21%
46 of 83 55% 46 38 0 92 1% 7% 23% - - - 17% 25% 26%
45 of 83 54% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 21% - - - 14% 26% 32%
44 of 83 53% 44 40 0 88 <1% 5% 19% - - - 13% 25% 37%
43 of 83 52% 43 41 0 86 <1% 4% 17% - - - 11% 24% 44%
42 of 83 51% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 15% - - - 9% 22% 50%
41 of 83 49% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 13% - - - 8% 21% 56%
40 of 83 48% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 11% - - - 6% 18% 63%
39 of 83 47% 39 45 0 78 <1% 2% 9% - - - 4% 16% 69%
38 of 83 46% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 13% 75%
37 of 83 45% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 11% 79%
36 of 83 43% 36 48 0 72 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 9% 84%
35 of 83 42% 35 49 0 70 <1% 1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 88%
34 of 83 41% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - 1% 5% 91%
33 of 83 40% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 93%
30 of 83 36% 30 54 0 60 <1% <1% 1% - - - <1% 1% 99%
20 of 83 24% 20 64 0 40 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 83 12% 10 74 0 20 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 83 0% 0 84 0 0 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs