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Fri Oct 23 3:15 am

NHL - Week 4 of 28

Islanders What If?

The Islanders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Islanders play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Islanders What If?

Next Game - Stars (6‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 6 3 2 14 13% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 48%
Current Standings 5 3 2 12 13% 14% 13% - - - 5% 5% 49%
Lose Next Game 5 4 2 12 11% 13% 14% - - - 6% 5% 51%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 13% 14% 13% - - - 5% 6% 50%
Current Standings 13% 14% 13% - - - 5% 5% 49%
Worst Case Scenario 12% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Kings beats Devils
   Sabres beats Capitals
 Worst Case Scenario
   Devils beats Kings
   Capitals beats Sabres
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
74 of 74 100% 79 3 2 160 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 74 95% 75 7 2 152 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% ^ ^
60 of 74 81% 65 17 2 132 96% 4% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 74 80% 64 18 2 130 92% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 74 78% 63 19 2 128 88% 11% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 74 77% 62 20 2 126 83% 16% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 74 76% 61 21 2 124 76% 22% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 74 74% 60 22 2 122 70% 27% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 74 73% 59 23 2 120 62% 33% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 74 72% 58 24 2 118 54% 38% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
52 of 74 70% 57 25 2 116 46% 42% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
51 of 74 69% 56 26 2 114 40% 43% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
50 of 74 68% 55 27 2 112 33% 44% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
49 of 74 66% 54 28 2 110 27% 45% 23% - - - 5% <1% <1%
48 of 74 65% 53 29 2 108 21% 42% 28% - - - 8% 1% <1%
47 of 74 64% 52 30 2 106 16% 40% 32% - - - 10% 2% <1%
46 of 74 62% 51 31 2 104 12% 36% 35% - - - 13% 3% <1%
45 of 74 61% 50 32 2 102 9% 32% 37% - - - 17% 5% 1%
44 of 74 59% 49 33 2 100 7% 27% 38% - - - 19% 7% 2%
43 of 74 58% 48 34 2 98 5% 23% 37% - - - 21% 11% 3%
42 of 74 57% 47 35 2 96 3% 19% 35% - - - 21% 15% 6%
41 of 74 55% 46 36 2 94 2% 15% 33% - - - 21% 19% 10%
40 of 74 54% 45 37 2 92 2% 12% 30% - - - 18% 22% 17%
39 of 74 53% 44 38 2 90 1% 9% 27% - - - 15% 22% 25%
38 of 74 51% 43 39 2 88 1% 6% 23% - - - 12% 23% 35%
37 of 74 50% 42 40 2 86 <1% 5% 19% - - - 9% 21% 46%
36 of 74 49% 41 41 2 84 <1% 4% 15% - - - 6% 19% 56%
35 of 74 47% 40 42 2 82 <1% 2% 12% - - - 4% 15% 67%
34 of 74 46% 39 43 2 80 <1% 1% 9% - - - 2% 11% 76%
33 of 74 45% 38 44 2 78 <1% 1% 7% - - - 1% 6% 85%
32 of 74 43% 37 45 2 76 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 5% 90%
31 of 74 42% 36 46 2 74 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 2% 94%
30 of 74 41% 35 47 2 72 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 1% 96%
20 of 74 27% 25 57 2 52 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 74 14% 15 67 2 32 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 74 0% 5 77 2 12 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs