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Wed Oct 14 3:00 am

NHL - Week 3 of 28

Kraken What If?

The Kraken What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Kraken play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Kraken What If?

Next Game - Lightning (4‑2‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 6 2 0 12 19% 17% 14% - - - 6% 6% 38%
Current Standings 5 2 0 10 18% 17% 14% - - - 6% 6% 39%
Lose Next Game 5 3 0 10 17% 17% 15% - - - 6% 6% 40%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 19% 17% 14% - - - 6% 6% 38%
Current Standings 18% 17% 14% - - - 6% 6% 39%
Worst Case Scenario 17% 17% 15% - - - 6% 6% 40%
Best Case Scenario
   Kraken beats Lightning
 Worst Case Scenario
   Lightning beats Kraken
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
77 of 77 100% 82 2 0 164 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 77 91% 75 9 0 150 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 77 86% 71 13 0 142 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 77 84% 70 14 0 140 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 77 83% 69 15 0 138 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 77 82% 68 16 0 136 84% 15% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 77 81% 67 17 0 134 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 77 79% 66 18 0 132 73% 26% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 77 78% 65 19 0 130 67% 30% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 77 77% 64 20 0 128 61% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 77 75% 63 21 0 126 53% 39% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 77 74% 62 22 0 124 46% 43% 10% - - - 1% <1% <1%
56 of 77 73% 61 23 0 122 41% 44% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
55 of 77 71% 60 24 0 120 35% 45% 17% - - - 3% <1% <1%
54 of 77 70% 59 25 0 118 30% 45% 22% - - - 3% <1% <1%
53 of 77 69% 58 26 0 116 25% 45% 25% - - - 5% <1% <1%
52 of 77 68% 57 27 0 114 21% 43% 28% - - - 7% 1% <1%
51 of 77 66% 56 28 0 112 17% 41% 32% - - - 9% 1% <1%
50 of 77 65% 55 29 0 110 13% 38% 34% - - - 12% 2% <1%
49 of 77 64% 54 30 0 108 10% 35% 37% - - - 14% 3% <1%
48 of 77 62% 53 31 0 106 8% 31% 38% - - - 18% 5% 1%
47 of 77 61% 52 32 0 104 7% 27% 38% - - - 19% 8% 1%
46 of 77 60% 51 33 0 102 5% 24% 37% - - - 21% 10% 3%
45 of 77 58% 50 34 0 100 4% 20% 37% - - - 23% 12% 4%
44 of 77 57% 49 35 0 98 3% 17% 35% - - - 22% 16% 7%
43 of 77 56% 48 36 0 96 2% 15% 32% - - - 21% 19% 10%
42 of 77 55% 47 37 0 94 2% 11% 31% - - - 20% 20% 16%
41 of 77 53% 46 38 0 92 1% 9% 28% - - - 18% 23% 21%
40 of 77 52% 45 39 0 90 1% 8% 24% - - - 15% 24% 28%
39 of 77 51% 44 40 0 88 1% 6% 22% - - - 13% 24% 35%
38 of 77 49% 43 41 0 86 <1% 5% 19% - - - 10% 22% 43%
37 of 77 48% 42 42 0 84 <1% 4% 15% - - - 8% 21% 52%
36 of 77 47% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 14% - - - 6% 19% 58%
35 of 77 45% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 11% - - - 4% 15% 68%
34 of 77 44% 39 45 0 78 <1% 1% 9% - - - 3% 13% 74%
33 of 77 43% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 7% - - - 1% 9% 82%
32 of 77 42% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 6% 87%
31 of 77 40% 36 48 0 72 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 4% 90%
30 of 77 39% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 94%
20 of 77 26% 25 59 0 50 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 77 13% 15 69 0 30 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 77 0% 5 79 0 10 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs