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Sat Nov 7 8:00 am

NHL - Week 6 of 28

Penguins What If?

The Penguins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Penguins play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Penguins What If?

Next Game - Kings (5‑7‑2)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 6 9 2 14 1% 3% 7% - - - 3% 4% 82%
Current Standings 5 9 2 12 1% 3% 6% - - - 3% 4% 83%
Lose Next Game 5 10 2 12 1% 3% 6% - - - 3% 4% 84%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 7% - - - 3% 4% 82%
Current Standings 1% 3% 6% - - - 3% 4% 83%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 6% - - - 3% 4% 84%
Best Case Scenario
   Penguins beats Kings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Kings beats Penguins
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
68 of 68 100% 73 9 2 148 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 65 17 2 132 97% 3% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 68 87% 64 18 2 130 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 68 85% 63 19 2 128 93% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 68 84% 62 20 2 126 88% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 68 82% 61 21 2 124 83% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 68 81% 60 22 2 122 76% 22% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 68 79% 59 23 2 120 69% 28% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 68 78% 58 24 2 118 62% 34% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 68 76% 57 25 2 116 53% 39% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 68 75% 56 26 2 114 45% 43% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
50 of 68 74% 55 27 2 112 37% 46% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
49 of 68 72% 54 28 2 110 29% 47% 21% - - - 3% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 53 29 2 108 23% 46% 26% - - - 5% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 52 30 2 106 17% 42% 31% - - - 8% 1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 51 31 2 104 13% 38% 35% - - - 12% 2% <1%
45 of 68 66% 50 32 2 102 9% 33% 39% - - - 16% 4% <1%
44 of 68 65% 49 33 2 100 6% 28% 38% - - - 20% 7% 1%
43 of 68 63% 48 34 2 98 4% 21% 39% - - - 22% 11% 3%
42 of 68 62% 47 35 2 96 2% 16% 36% - - - 22% 17% 7%
41 of 68 60% 46 36 2 94 1% 11% 32% - - - 21% 21% 13%
40 of 68 59% 45 37 2 92 1% 9% 27% - - - 17% 24% 24%
39 of 68 57% 44 38 2 90 <1% 5% 22% - - - 12% 24% 37%
38 of 68 56% 43 39 2 88 <1% 3% 17% - - - 7% 21% 52%
37 of 68 54% 42 40 2 86 <1% 2% 12% - - - 4% 15% 67%
36 of 68 53% 41 41 2 84 <1% 1% 8% - - - 2% 10% 79%
35 of 68 51% 40 42 2 82 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 6% 87%
34 of 68 50% 39 43 2 80 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 94%
30 of 68 44% 35 47 2 72 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
20 of 68 29% 25 57 2 52 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 15 67 2 32 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 68 0% 5 77 2 12 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs