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Fri Oct 10 1:45 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Penguins What If?

The Penguins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Penguins play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Penguins What If?

Next Game - Rangers (1‑1‑0)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 0 0 6 23% 14% 13% - - - 5% 6% 38%
Current Standings 2 0 0 4 23% 14% 13% - - - 5% 5% 40%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 4 21% 14% 13% - - - 5% 6% 40%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
80 of 80 100% 82 0 0 164 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 80 88% 72 10 0 144 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 80 84% 69 13 0 138 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 80 83% 68 14 0 136 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 67 15 0 134 88% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 66 16 0 132 83% 16% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 65 17 0 130 76% 22% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 64 18 0 128 69% 27% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 63 19 0 126 61% 33% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 62 20 0 124 54% 38% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 61 21 0 122 46% 42% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 60 22 0 120 39% 43% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 59 23 0 118 32% 45% 20% - - - 4% <1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 58 24 0 116 26% 44% 25% - - - 5% <1% <1%
55 of 80 69% 57 25 0 114 22% 42% 28% - - - 7% 1% <1%
54 of 80 68% 56 26 0 112 18% 41% 30% - - - 10% 2% <1%
53 of 80 66% 55 27 0 110 14% 37% 33% - - - 13% 3% <1%
52 of 80 65% 54 28 0 108 11% 33% 35% - - - 15% 4% 1%
51 of 80 64% 53 29 0 106 9% 31% 36% - - - 17% 6% 1%
50 of 80 63% 52 30 0 104 7% 28% 37% - - - 19% 7% 2%
49 of 80 61% 51 31 0 102 6% 25% 37% - - - 20% 10% 2%
48 of 80 60% 50 32 0 100 4% 22% 37% - - - 20% 12% 4%
47 of 80 59% 49 33 0 98 4% 19% 35% - - - 20% 15% 6%
46 of 80 58% 48 34 0 96 3% 16% 34% - - - 21% 17% 9%
45 of 80 56% 47 35 0 94 2% 15% 32% - - - 19% 19% 13%
44 of 80 55% 46 36 0 92 2% 12% 30% - - - 19% 21% 16%
43 of 80 54% 45 37 0 90 2% 11% 27% - - - 17% 22% 22%
42 of 80 53% 44 38 0 88 1% 9% 26% - - - 15% 23% 26%
41 of 80 51% 43 39 0 86 1% 8% 24% - - - 13% 22% 32%
40 of 80 50% 42 40 0 84 1% 7% 20% - - - 11% 22% 39%
39 of 80 49% 41 41 0 82 <1% 5% 20% - - - 9% 21% 46%
38 of 80 48% 40 42 0 80 <1% 4% 17% - - - 7% 19% 52%
37 of 80 46% 39 43 0 78 <1% 3% 16% - - - 6% 17% 58%
36 of 80 45% 38 44 0 76 <1% 3% 13% - - - 5% 15% 64%
35 of 80 44% 37 45 0 74 <1% 2% 12% - - - 3% 13% 70%
34 of 80 43% 36 46 0 72 <1% 2% 10% - - - 2% 10% 76%
33 of 80 41% 35 47 0 70 <1% 1% 8% - - - 1% 8% 81%
32 of 80 40% 34 48 0 68 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 6% 86%
31 of 80 39% 33 49 0 66 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 5% 89%
30 of 80 38% 32 50 0 64 <1% 1% 4% - - - <1% 3% 92%
29 of 80 36% 31 51 0 62 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 2% 95%
20 of 80 25% 22 60 0 44 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 12 70 0 24 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 80 0% 2 80 0 4 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs