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Sat Aug 30 3:15 pm

English Premier League - Week 3 of 41

Bournemouth What If?

The Bournemouth What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bournemouth What If?

Next Game - Brighton (0‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 1 0 9 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 6%
Current Standings 2 1 0 6 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 6 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Current Standings 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Best Case Scenario
   Crystal Palace beats Aston Villa
 Worst Case Scenario
   Aston Villa beats Crystal Palace
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
35 of 35 100% 37 1 0 111 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 35 86% 32 6 0 96 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 35 71% 27 11 0 81 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 35 63% 24 14 0 72 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 35 60% 23 15 0 69 71% 26% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 35 57% 22 16 0 66 40% 42% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 35 54% 21 17 0 63 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 35 51% 20 18 0 60 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 13% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 35 49% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 5% 15% 27% 27% 17% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 35 46% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 28% 26% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 35 43% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 18% 28% 26% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 35 40% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 22% 29% 24% 10% 3%
13 of 35 37% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 32% 39%
12 of 35 34% 14 24 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 87%
10 of 35 29% 12 26 0 36 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 35 14% 7 31 0 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 35 0% 2 36 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League