The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Wyoming (2‑8) vs Boise State (9‑1) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | 27% | 20% | X | X | 2% | 23% | 29% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 27% | 23% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise State Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 24% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno State (5‑5) vs Colorado St. (7‑3) |
0 | Fresno State Wins | X | X | X | X | 52% | 20% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 27% | 23% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | 46% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada (3‑8) vs Air Force (3‑7) |
0 | Nevada Wins | X | X | X | 27% | 24% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 27% | 23% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force Wins | X | X | X | 26% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||