The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico (5‑1) vs North Dakota St. (6‑1) |
32 | New Mexico Wins | 35% | 22% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 5% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada (2‑4) vs San José State (4‑3) |
2 | Nevada Wins | 22% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 21% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (5‑1) vs Wyoming (4‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 21% | 20% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 24% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Illinois (0‑6) vs Hawaii (1‑6) |
0 | Northern Illinois Wins | 21% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 21% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||