The Bills What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bills play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 5 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 20% | 57% | 23% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11 | 5 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 18% | 52% | 29% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 6 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | 69% | 31% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | 18% | 52% | 29% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Colts beats Texans Bills beats Jets |
Worst Case Scenario Texans beats Colts Jets beats Bills |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 1 of 1 | 100% | 12 | 5 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 19% | 58% | 23% | ^ |
| 0 of 1 | 0% | 11 | 6 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |