The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Packers (0‑1) vs Jets (1‑0) |
7 | Packers Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Jets Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 37% | ||
| Texans (0‑1) vs Bengals (1‑0) |
4 | Texans Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Colts (0‑1) vs Chiefs (1‑0) |
4 | Colts Wins | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Broncos (0‑1) vs Jaguars (1‑0) |
4 | Broncos Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Patriots (0‑1) vs Steelers (1‑0) |
3 | Patriots Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Browns (0‑1) vs Buccaneers (0‑1) |
1 | Browns Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Ravens (1‑0) vs Saints (0‑1) |
1 | Ravens Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Saints Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (1‑0) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Eagles (1‑0) vs Titans (0‑1) |
0 | Eagles Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Titans Wins | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Chargers (0‑1) vs Raiders (1‑0) |
0 | Chargers Wins | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 36% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 36% | ||