The Most Important Games for the Broncos are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Broncos Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Broncos (11‑2) vs Packers (9‑3‑1) |
96 | Broncos Wins | 62% | 25% | 7% | X | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Packers Wins | 30% | 39% | 14% | <1% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Bills (9‑4) vs Patriots (11‑2) |
52 | Bills Wins | 65% | 16% | 8% | <1% | 4% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 45% | 35% | 10% | <1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑7) vs Chargers (9‑4) |
12 | Chiefs Wins | 52% | 31% | 11% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 51% | 27% | 8% | X | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑10) vs Jaguars (9‑4) |
7 | Jets Wins | 53% | 33% | 3% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 51% | 28% | 10% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (6‑7) vs Steelers (7‑6) |
4 | Dolphins Wins | 52% | 28% | 9% | X | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 51% | 29% | 10% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Seahawks (10‑3) vs Colts (8‑5) |
2 | Seahawks Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 51% | 28% | 10% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texans (8‑5) vs Cardinals (3‑10) |
1 | Texans Wins | 51% | 28% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 51% | 28% | 11% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bears (9‑4) vs Browns (3‑10) |
0 | Bears Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Browns Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑9) vs Ravens (6‑7) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eagles (8‑5) vs Raiders (2‑11) |
0 | Eagles Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (9‑4) vs Titans (2‑11) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Titans Wins | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||