The Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Broncos play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 12 | 2 | 0 | 62% | 25% | 7% | X | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 11 | 2 | 0 | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 3 | 0 | 30% | 39% | 14% | <1% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 78% | 13% | 7% | X | <1% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 52% | 29% | 9% | <1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 21% | 43% | 13% | X | 14% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Chiefs beats Chargers Bills beats Patriots Broncos beats Packers |
Worst Case Scenario Chargers beats Chiefs Patriots beats Bills Packers beats Broncos |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 70% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 19% | 58% | 15% | X | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 23% | 33% | X | 24% | 18% | 2% | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 40% | 35% | 4% |