The Chargers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chargers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 37% | 18% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 14% | 13% | 9% | 1% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Standings | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 26% | 20% | 18% | 21% |
|
Best Case Scenario Jets beats Patriots Chargers beats Jaguars Chiefs beats Broncos |
Worst Case Scenario Patriots beats Jets Jaguars beats Chargers Broncos beats Chiefs |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 66% | 30% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 25% | 37% | 17% | <1% | 21% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4% | 18% | 24% | 1% | 48% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 49% | 27% | 5% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 39% | 30% | 9% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 36% | 46% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |