PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Oct 24 8:00 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Chargers What If?

The Chargers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chargers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chargers What If?

Next Game - Titans (1‑6)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 6 3 0 5% 10% 11% 6% 16% 14% 13% 26%
Current Standings 5 3 0 4% 9% 9% 5% 14% 14% 12% 32%
Lose Next Game 5 4 0 1% 5% 8% 6% 12% 13% 14% 41%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 7% 10% 10% 6% 14% 13% 11% 29%
Current Standings 4% 9% 9% 5% 14% 14% 12% 32%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 8% 8% 4% 15% 14% 13% 33%
Best Case Scenario
   Jets beats Bengals
   Cowboys beats Broncos
   Titans beats Colts
Worst Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Jets
   Broncos beats Cowboys
   Colts beats Titans
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
9 of 9 100% 14 3 0 63% 35% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 13 4 0 31% 45% 15% 1% 8% <1% <1% ^
7 of 9 78% 12 5 0 7% 28% 31% 6% 25% 3% <1% <1%
6 of 9 67% 11 6 0 1% 7% 23% 14% 34% 18% 3% <1%
5 of 9 56% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 7% 13% 20% 34% 20% 4%
4 of 9 44% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 6% 5% 21% 35% 33%
3 of 9 33% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
2 of 9 22% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
1 of 9 11% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 9 0% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs