The Most Important Games for the Chargers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chargers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chargers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chargers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chargers (3‑1) vs Commanders (2‑2) |
35 | Chargers Wins | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Eagles (4‑0) vs Broncos (2‑2) |
5 | Eagles Wins | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Patriots (2‑2) vs Bills (4‑0) |
5 | Patriots Wins | 16% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Bills Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Vikings (2‑2) vs Browns (1‑3) |
4 | Vikings Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Browns Wins | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Colts (3‑1) vs Raiders (1‑3) |
4 | Colts Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Jaguars (3‑1) vs Chiefs (2‑2) |
3 | Jaguars Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Panthers (1‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑3) |
2 | Panthers Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Texans (1‑3) vs Ravens (1‑3) |
2 | Texans Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Lions (3‑1) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
1 | Lions Wins | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑2) vs Titans (0‑4) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Titans Wins | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Cowboys (1‑2‑1) vs Jets (0‑4) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Jets Wins | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||