The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jets (2‑7) vs Patriots (8‑2) |
22 | Jets Wins | 31% | 21% | 18% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Chiefs (5‑4) vs Broncos (8‑2) |
14 | Chiefs Wins | 28% | 22% | 20% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 23% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑3) vs Bills (6‑3) |
6 | Buccaneers Wins | 25% | 22% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Bills Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Titans (1‑8) vs Texans (4‑5) |
5 | Titans Wins | 24% | 23% | 24% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Texans Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Bengals (3‑6) vs Steelers (5‑4) |
5 | Bengals Wins | 25% | 23% | 25% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 24% | 22% | 22% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Ravens (4‑5) |
3 | Browns Wins | 25% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 24% | 22% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Jaguars (5‑4) |
1 | Chargers Wins | 24% | 23% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 25% | 22% | 21% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Dolphins (3‑7) vs Commanders (3‑7) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 25% | 22% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 25% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Raiders (2‑7) vs Cowboys (3‑5‑1) |
1 | Raiders Wins | 25% | 23% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 25% | 22% | 22% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||