The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Colts (5‑6) vs Lions (9‑1) |
26 | Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 19% | 22% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 21% | 64% | ||
| Raiders (2‑8) vs Broncos (6‑5) |
9 | Raiders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 16% | 22% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 19% | 61% | ||
| Titans (2‑8) vs Texans (7‑4) |
7 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Texans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 59% | ||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Ravens (7‑4) |
2 | Chargers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 59% | ||
| Browns (2‑8) vs Steelers (8‑2) |
1 | Browns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Steelers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Patriots (3‑8) vs Dolphins (4‑6) |
1 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 21% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 57% | ||
| Chiefs (9‑1) vs Panthers (3‑7) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 20% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 58% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 21% | 58% | ||