The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Titans (2‑8) vs Texans (7‑4) |
0 | Titans Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Texans Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lions (9‑1) vs Colts (5‑6) |
0 | Lions Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Colts Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Raiders (2‑8) vs Broncos (6‑5) |
0 | Raiders Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Broncos Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Ravens (7‑4) |
0 | Chargers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ravens Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Patriots (3‑8) vs Dolphins (4‑6) |
0 | Patriots Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Panthers (3‑7) vs Chiefs (9‑1) |
0 | Panthers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||