The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Giants (2‑10) vs Patriots (10‑2) |
15 | Giants Wins | 8% | 14% | 22% | 4% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 14% | 25% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 3% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
7 | Commanders Wins | 5% | 18% | 21% | 4% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 14% | 25% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 4% | 13% | 27% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
3 | Raiders Wins | 4% | 15% | 25% | 4% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 14% | 25% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 4% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Steelers (6‑5) vs Bills (7‑4) |
1 | Steelers Wins | 4% | 14% | 24% | 7% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 14% | 25% | 5% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Bills Wins | 4% | 15% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||