The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (11‑4) vs Colts (8‑6) |
134 | Jaguars Wins | 29% | 45% | 24% | X | 1% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | <1% | 2% | 61% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Ravens (7‑7) vs Patriots (11‑3) |
58 | Ravens Wins | 29% | 25% | 29% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 9% | 28% | 46% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑9) vs Broncos (12‑3) |
54 | Chiefs Wins | 29% | 26% | 28% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 11% | 28% | 44% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑12) vs Patriots (11‑3) |
45 | Jets Wins | 29% | 25% | 29% | <1% | 7% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 14% | 27% | 42% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Chargers (11‑4) vs Texans (10‑5) |
22 | Chargers Wins | 16% | 26% | 54% | <1% | X | <1% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 16% | 28% | 23% | X | 6% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) vs Colts (8‑6) |
3 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 17% | 28% | 39% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Colts Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Browns (3‑12) vs Steelers (9‑6) |
1 | Browns Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | X | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Bills (11‑4) vs Eagles (10‑5) |
1 | Bills Wins | 17% | 26% | 39% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Packers (9‑5‑1) vs Ravens (7‑7) |
0 | Packers Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Saints Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Giants Wins | 16% | 27% | 40% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||