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Thu Oct 22 3:00 am

NHL - Week 4 of 28

Canucks What If?

The Canucks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Canucks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Canucks What If?

Next Game - Red Wings (3‑3‑3)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 8 1 7 2% 5% 10% - - - 5% 6% 72%
Current Standings 2 8 1 5 2% 5% 9% - - - 5% 6% 72%
Lose Next Game 2 9 1 5 1% 5% 9% - - - 5% 6% 74%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 2% 5% 10% - - - 5% 6% 72%
Current Standings 2% 5% 9% - - - 5% 6% 72%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 5% 9% - - - 5% 6% 74%
Best Case Scenario
   Canucks beats Red Wings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Red Wings beats Canucks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
73 of 73 100% 75 8 1 151 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 72 11 1 145 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 73 90% 68 15 1 137 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 73 89% 67 16 1 135 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 73 88% 66 17 1 133 87% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 73 86% 65 18 1 131 82% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 73 85% 64 19 1 129 78% 21% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 73 84% 63 20 1 127 72% 26% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 73 82% 62 21 1 125 64% 32% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 73 81% 61 22 1 123 58% 37% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 73 79% 60 23 1 121 51% 40% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 73 78% 59 24 1 119 44% 44% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
56 of 73 77% 58 25 1 117 38% 46% 15% - - - 1% <1% <1%
55 of 73 75% 57 26 1 115 32% 45% 20% - - - 3% <1% <1%
54 of 73 74% 56 27 1 113 26% 46% 23% - - - 4% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 55 28 1 111 21% 44% 27% - - - 7% 1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 54 29 1 109 17% 42% 31% - - - 9% 1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 53 30 1 107 14% 38% 34% - - - 12% 2% <1%
50 of 73 68% 52 31 1 105 11% 34% 37% - - - 15% 3% <1%
49 of 73 67% 51 32 1 103 8% 30% 37% - - - 19% 5% 1%
48 of 73 66% 50 33 1 101 6% 26% 38% - - - 21% 7% 1%
47 of 73 64% 49 34 1 99 5% 22% 37% - - - 24% 11% 2%
46 of 73 63% 48 35 1 97 3% 18% 36% - - - 24% 14% 4%
45 of 73 62% 47 36 1 95 2% 15% 34% - - - 24% 18% 7%
44 of 73 60% 46 37 1 93 1% 11% 30% - - - 24% 21% 12%
43 of 73 59% 45 38 1 91 1% 8% 27% - - - 21% 25% 18%
42 of 73 58% 44 39 1 89 1% 6% 23% - - - 17% 25% 28%
41 of 73 56% 43 40 1 87 <1% 5% 21% - - - 14% 25% 36%
40 of 73 55% 42 41 1 85 <1% 3% 17% - - - 11% 23% 46%
39 of 73 53% 41 42 1 83 <1% 2% 13% - - - 7% 21% 57%
38 of 73 52% 40 43 1 81 <1% 2% 11% - - - 5% 17% 66%
37 of 73 51% 39 44 1 79 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 12% 76%
36 of 73 49% 38 45 1 77 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 8% 84%
35 of 73 48% 37 46 1 75 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 5% 90%
34 of 73 47% 36 47 1 73 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 94%
30 of 73 41% 32 51 1 65 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% 99%
20 of 73 27% 22 61 1 45 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 12 71 1 25 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 73 0% 2 81 1 5 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs