The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Blues (11‑12‑7) vs Bruins (17‑13‑0) |
1 | Blues Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Bruins Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Ducks (18‑10‑1) vs Penguins (14‑7‑6) |
1 | Ducks Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Penguins Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Sharks (14‑13‑3) vs Flyers (15‑9‑3) |
1 | Sharks Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Flyers Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Blue Jackets (13‑10‑6) vs Hurricanes (17‑9‑2) |
1 | Blue Jackets Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Sabres (11‑14‑4) vs Oilers (13‑11‑5) |
0 | Sabres Wins | 26% | 18% | 14% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Oilers Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Golden Knights (14‑6‑8) vs Islanders (16‑11‑3) |
0 | Golden Knights Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Islanders Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Panthers (14‑12‑2) vs Hockey Club (14‑14‑3) |
0 | Panthers Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Devils (16‑12‑1) vs Senators (13‑11‑4) |
0 | Devils Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Senators Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Blackhawks (12‑11‑6) vs Rangers (15‑12‑4) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Lightning (16‑11‑2) vs Canadiens (15‑10‑3) |
0 | Lightning Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Red Wings (16‑11‑3) vs Flames (12‑15‑4) |
0 | Red Wings Wins | 26% | 19% | 15% | - | - | - | 9% | 8% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||
| Flames Wins | 26% | 18% | 15% | - | - | - | 10% | 8% | 24% | ||