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Sat Oct 10 3:45 am

NHL - Week 2 of 28

Golden Knights What If?

The Golden Knights What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Golden Knights play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Golden Knights What If?

Next Game - Kings (0‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 1 0 10 19% 15% 14% - - - 6% 7% 38%
Current Standings 4 1 0 8 19% 15% 13% - - - 6% 6% 40%
Lose Next Game 4 2 0 8 17% 15% 13% - - - 6% 7% 41%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 19% 15% 14% - - - 6% 6% 38%
Current Standings 19% 15% 13% - - - 6% 6% 40%
Worst Case Scenario 18% 15% 13% - - - 6% 7% 41%
Best Case Scenario
   Blues beats Blue Jackets
   Golden Knights beats Kings
Worst Case Scenario
   Blue Jackets beats Blues
   Kings beats Golden Knights
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
79 of 79 100% 83 1 0 166 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 79 89% 74 10 0 148 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 79 86% 72 12 0 144 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 79 85% 71 13 0 142 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 79 84% 70 14 0 140 86% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 79 82% 69 15 0 138 81% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 79 81% 68 16 0 136 74% 24% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 79 80% 67 17 0 134 67% 30% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 79 78% 66 18 0 132 59% 35% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 79 77% 65 19 0 130 52% 39% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
60 of 79 76% 64 20 0 128 45% 42% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
59 of 79 75% 63 21 0 126 38% 45% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
58 of 79 73% 62 22 0 124 32% 45% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
57 of 79 72% 61 23 0 122 27% 45% 23% - - - 5% <1% <1%
56 of 79 71% 60 24 0 120 22% 43% 28% - - - 7% 1% <1%
55 of 79 70% 59 25 0 118 18% 41% 31% - - - 8% 1% <1%
54 of 79 68% 58 26 0 116 15% 39% 33% - - - 11% 2% <1%
53 of 79 67% 57 27 0 114 12% 36% 36% - - - 13% 3% <1%
52 of 79 66% 56 28 0 112 10% 33% 37% - - - 16% 4% <1%
51 of 79 65% 55 29 0 110 8% 29% 37% - - - 20% 6% 1%
50 of 79 63% 54 30 0 108 6% 26% 38% - - - 21% 8% 1%
49 of 79 62% 53 31 0 106 5% 23% 37% - - - 23% 10% 2%
48 of 79 61% 52 32 0 104 4% 20% 36% - - - 24% 13% 4%
47 of 79 59% 51 33 0 102 3% 18% 35% - - - 24% 16% 6%
46 of 79 58% 50 34 0 100 3% 16% 32% - - - 23% 19% 8%
45 of 79 57% 49 35 0 98 2% 12% 31% - - - 23% 21% 12%
44 of 79 56% 48 36 0 96 1% 11% 28% - - - 21% 23% 15%
43 of 79 54% 47 37 0 94 1% 9% 26% - - - 18% 25% 21%
42 of 79 53% 46 38 0 92 1% 8% 24% - - - 17% 25% 26%
41 of 79 52% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 21% - - - 15% 25% 32%
40 of 79 51% 44 40 0 88 <1% 5% 19% - - - 12% 25% 39%
39 of 79 49% 43 41 0 86 <1% 4% 17% - - - 10% 23% 45%
38 of 79 48% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 14% - - - 8% 22% 52%
37 of 79 47% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 13% - - - 6% 20% 59%
36 of 79 46% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 11% - - - 5% 17% 65%
35 of 79 44% 39 45 0 78 <1% 1% 9% - - - 4% 14% 72%
34 of 79 43% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 2% 11% 77%
33 of 79 42% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 9% 82%
32 of 79 41% 36 48 0 72 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 7% 87%
31 of 79 39% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 5% 90%
30 of 79 38% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 94%
29 of 79 37% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 95%
20 of 79 25% 24 60 0 48 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 79 13% 14 70 0 28 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 79 0% 4 80 0 8 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs