The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (40‑25) vs Angels (27‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 47% | 7% | 2% | 32% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 36% | 7% | 2% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Blue Jays (33‑36) vs Yankees (41‑26) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 47% | 8% | 2% | 27% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 40% | 6% | 1% | 37% | 8% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Red Sox (27‑39) vs Rangers (34‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Dodgers (44‑25) vs White Sox (36‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 43% | 6% | 2% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 8% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Tigers (29‑40) vs Guardians (37‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 44% | 6% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 8% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑29) vs Twins (31‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (33‑35) vs Rockies (26‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Padres (35‑32) vs Orioles (33‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Nationals (35‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 43% | 7% | 1% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Royals (28‑41) vs Astros (31‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 7% | 2% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (40‑25) vs Angels (27‑42) |
6 | Rays Wins | 44% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Angels Wins | 41% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Blue Jays (33‑36) vs Yankees (41‑26) |
4 | Blue Jays Wins | 44% | 7% | 2% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Padres (35‑32) vs Orioles (33‑37) |
2 | Padres Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Guardians (37‑33) vs Tigers (29‑40) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (33‑35) vs Rockies (26‑43) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Nationals (35‑34) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| White Sox (36‑31) vs Dodgers (44‑25) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 43% | 8% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑29) vs Twins (31‑39) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Twins Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Red Sox (27‑39) vs Rangers (34‑34) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Astros (31‑39) vs Royals (28‑41) |
0 | Astros Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Royals Wins | 42% | 7% | 2% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 4% | ||