Where are the Louisville Cardinals going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Louisville standings table presents the probabilities of the Cardinals winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 15i Duke Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Clemson 71-77 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs California 78-57 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Stanford 106-70 Won Mon, Feb 17 @ Virginia 80-62 Sat, Feb 22 @ Illinois Tue, Feb 25 @ Miami Sat, Mar 01 vs Florida St. Mon, Mar 03 vs Wake Forest |
1 | 16 | 74% | 16% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Louisville | 13 Louisville Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Boston College 84-58 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Miami 88-78 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ N.C. State 91-66 Won Sun, Feb 16 @ Notre Dame 75-60 Sat, Feb 22 vs Florida St. Tue, Feb 25 @ Virginia Tech Sat, Mar 01 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Mar 05 vs California |
2 | 15 | 11% | 53% | 34% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Clemson | 13 Clemson Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Georgia Tech 86-89 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Duke 77-71 Won Mon, Feb 10 vs North Carolina 85-65 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Florida St. 72-46 Sat, Feb 22 @ SMU Wed, Feb 26 vs Notre Dame Sat, Mar 01 @ Virginia Wed, Mar 05 @ Boston College |
2 | 15 | 15% | 30% | 48% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Wake Forest | 11 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Stanford 79-73 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ California 76-66 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Florida St. 70-72 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ SMU 77-66 Sat, Feb 22 @ N.C. State Wed, Feb 26 vs Virginia Sat, Mar 01 vs Notre Dame Mon, Mar 03 @ Duke |
4 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 67% | 28% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| SMU | 11 SMU Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Virginia Tech 81-75 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs Pittsburgh 83-63 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Wake Forest 66-77 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Notre Dame 97-73 Sat, Feb 22 vs Clemson Wed, Feb 26 @ California Sat, Mar 01 @ Stanford Tue, Mar 04 vs Syracuse |
4 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 24% | 53% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| North Carolina | 9 North Carolina Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Pittsburgh 67-66 Lost Mon, Feb 10 @ Clemson 65-85 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Syracuse 88-82 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs N.C. State 97-73 Sat, Feb 22 vs Virginia Mon, Feb 24 @ Florida St. Sat, Mar 01 vs Miami Tue, Mar 04 @ Virginia Tech |
6 | 15 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 53% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Stanford | 8 Stanford Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs Wake Forest 73-79 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs N.C. State 74-73 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Georgia Tech 52-60 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Duke 70-106 Sat, Feb 22 vs California Wed, Feb 26 vs Boston College Sat, Mar 01 vs SMU Wed, Mar 05 @ Notre Dame |
7 | 15 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 28% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Florida St. | 7 Florida St. Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 vs Notre Dame 67-60 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ Wake Forest 72-70 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Clemson 46-72 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs Miami 74-66 Sat, Feb 22 @ Louisville Mon, Feb 24 vs North Carolina Sat, Mar 01 @ Duke Tue, Mar 04 @ Virginia |
8 | 15 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Georgia Tech | 7 Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 @ Clemson 89-86 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Virginia 61-75 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Stanford 60-52 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs California 90-88 Sat, Feb 22 @ Boston College Tue, Feb 25 @ Pittsburgh Sat, Mar 01 vs N.C. State Tue, Mar 04 vs Miami |
8 | 15 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh | 7 Pittsburgh Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ North Carolina 66-67 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ SMU 63-83 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Miami 74-65 Won Tue, Feb 18 vs Syracuse 80-69 Sat, Feb 22 @ Notre Dame Tue, Feb 25 vs Georgia Tech Sat, Mar 01 @ Louisville Wed, Mar 05 @ N.C. State |
8 | 15 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 31% | 28% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia | 6 Virginia Recent Games Won Mon, Feb 03 @ Pittsburgh 73-57 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Georgia Tech 75-61 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Virginia Tech 73-70 Lost Mon, Feb 17 vs Duke 62-80 Sat, Feb 22 @ North Carolina Wed, Feb 26 @ Wake Forest Sat, Mar 01 vs Clemson Tue, Mar 04 vs Florida St. |
9 | 15 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 1% |
| Virginia Tech | 6 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs SMU 75-81 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Notre Dame 65-63 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Virginia 70-73 Lost Tue, Feb 18 @ Boston College 36-54 Sat, Feb 22 @ Miami Tue, Feb 25 vs Louisville Sat, Mar 01 vs Syracuse Tue, Mar 04 vs North Carolina |
9 | 15 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Notre Dame | 5 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Virginia Tech 63-65 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ Boston College 97-94 Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs Louisville 60-75 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs SMU 73-97 Sat, Feb 22 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Feb 26 @ Clemson Sat, Mar 01 @ Wake Forest Wed, Mar 05 vs Stanford |
10 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 17% |
| California | 5 California Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs N.C. State 74-62 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Wake Forest 66-76 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Duke 57-78 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Georgia Tech 88-90 Sat, Feb 22 @ Stanford Wed, Feb 26 vs SMU Sat, Mar 01 vs Boston College Wed, Mar 05 @ Louisville |
10 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 10% |
| Syracuse | 5 Syracuse Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Boston College 95-86 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ Miami 84-91 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs North Carolina 82-88 Lost Tue, Feb 18 @ Pittsburgh 69-80 Wed, Feb 26 vs N.C. State Sat, Mar 01 @ Virginia Tech Tue, Mar 04 @ SMU Sat, Mar 08 vs Virginia |
11 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 11% |
| N.C. State | 3 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Stanford 73-74 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Louisville 66-91 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Boston College 70-62 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ North Carolina 73-97 Sat, Feb 22 vs Wake Forest Wed, Feb 26 @ Syracuse Sat, Mar 01 @ Georgia Tech Wed, Mar 05 vs Pittsburgh |
12 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 71% |
| Boston College | 3 Boston College Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Syracuse 86-95 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Notre Dame 94-97 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ N.C. State 62-70 Won Tue, Feb 18 vs Virginia Tech 54-36 Sat, Feb 22 vs Georgia Tech Wed, Feb 26 @ Stanford Sat, Mar 01 @ California Wed, Mar 05 vs Clemson |
12 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 90% |
| Miami | 2 Miami Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Louisville 78-88 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs Syracuse 91-84 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Pittsburgh 65-74 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Florida St. 66-74 Sat, Feb 22 vs Virginia Tech Tue, Feb 25 vs Duke Sat, Mar 01 @ North Carolina Tue, Mar 04 @ Georgia Tech |
13 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 100% | ||
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Duke (23‑3) |
65‑76 | Home | Sun Dec 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida St. (16‑10) |
90‑76 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | North Carolina (16‑11) |
83‑70 | Home | Wed Jan 1, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Virginia (13‑13) |
70‑50 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Clemson (21‑5) |
74‑64 | Home | Tue Jan 7, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pittsburgh (16‑10) |
82‑78 | Away | Sat Jan 11, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Syracuse (11‑16) |
85‑61 | Away | Tue Jan 14, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Virginia (13‑13) |
81‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 12:00 pm |
| 12 | SMU (20‑6) |
98‑73 | Away | Tue Jan 21, 9:00 pm |
| 13 | Wake Forest (19‑7) |
72‑59 | Home | Tue Jan 28, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Georgia Tech (13‑13) |
70‑77 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 3:45 pm |
| 14 | Boston College (11‑15) |
84‑58 | Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Miami (6‑20) |
88‑78 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 15 | N.C. State (10‑16) |
91‑66 | Away | Wed Feb 12, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Notre Dame (11‑15) |
75‑60 | Away | Sun Feb 16, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Florida St. (16‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 12:00 pm | |
| 17 | Virginia Tech (11‑15) |
Away | Tue Feb 25, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Pittsburgh (16‑10) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 18 | California (12‑14) |
Home | Wed Mar 5, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Stanford (16‑10) |
Home | Sat Mar 8, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morehead St. (14‑13) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 93‑45 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Tennessee (21‑5) |
SECSEC | 55‑77 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Bellarmine (4‑24) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 100‑68 | Home | Tue Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Winthrop (19‑10) |
Big SouthBig South | 76‑61 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Indiana (15‑11) |
Big 10Big 10 | 89‑61 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | West Virginia (15‑10) |
Big 12Big 12 | 79‑70 (OT) | Home | Thu Nov 28, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Oklahoma (16‑10) |
SECSEC | 64‑69 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 5:30 pm |
| 5 | Ole Miss (19‑7) |
SECSEC | 63‑86 | Home | Tue Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | UTEP (17‑8) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 77‑74 | Home | Wed Dec 11, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Kentucky (18‑8) |
SECSEC | 85‑93 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 5:15 pm |
| 8 | Eastern Kentucky (17‑11) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 78‑76 | Home | Sat Dec 28, 12:00 pm |