Where are the Louisville Cardinals going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Louisville standings table presents the probabilities of the Cardinals winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 13i Duke Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ North Carolina 68-71 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Pittsburgh 70-54 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Clemson 67-54 Won Mon, Feb 16 vs Syracuse 101-64 Sat, Feb 21 vs Michigan Tue, Feb 24 @ Notre Dame Sat, Feb 28 vs Virginia Mon, Mar 02 @ N.C. State |
1 | 14 | 81% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia | 10 Virginia Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Pittsburgh 67-47 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Syracuse 72-59 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Florida St. 61-58 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Ohio St. 70-66 Wed, Feb 18 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Feb 21 vs Miami Tue, Feb 24 vs N.C. State Sat, Feb 28 @ Duke |
2 | 12 | 17% | 51% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Miami | 10 Miami Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Boston College 74-68 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs North Carolina 75-66 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ N.C. State 77-76 Won Tue, Feb 17 vs Virginia Tech 67-66 Sat, Feb 21 @ Virginia Tue, Feb 24 @ Florida St. Sat, Feb 28 vs Boston College Wed, Mar 04 @ SMU |
3 | 13 | 2% | 19% | 27% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| N.C. State | 10 N.C. State Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Virginia Tech 82-73 Lost Mon, Feb 09 @ Louisville 77-118 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs Miami 76-77 Won Tue, Feb 17 vs North Carolina 82-58 Tue, Feb 24 @ Virginia Sat, Feb 28 @ Notre Dame Mon, Mar 02 vs Duke Sat, Mar 07 vs Stanford |
4 | 14 | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Clemson | 10 Clemson Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 @ California 77-55 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Virginia Tech 66-76 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Duke 54-67 Lost Wed, Feb 18 @ Wake Forest 77-85 Sat, Feb 21 vs Florida St. Sat, Feb 28 vs Louisville Tue, Mar 03 @ North Carolina Sat, Mar 07 vs Georgia Tech |
4 | 14 | <1% | 7% | 29% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| North Carolina | 8 North Carolina Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Duke 71-68 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ Miami 66-75 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Pittsburgh 79-65 Lost Tue, Feb 17 @ N.C. State 58-82 Sat, Feb 21 @ Syracuse Mon, Feb 23 vs Louisville Sat, Feb 28 vs Virginia Tech Tue, Mar 03 vs Clemson |
5 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Louisville | 8 Louisville Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Wake Forest 88-80 Won Mon, Feb 09 vs N.C. State 118-77 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Baylor 82-71 Lost Tue, Feb 17 @ SMU 85-95 Sat, Feb 21 vs Georgia Tech Mon, Feb 23 @ North Carolina Sat, Feb 28 @ Clemson Tue, Mar 03 vs Syracuse |
5 | 13 | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| SMU | 7 SMU Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Pittsburgh 86-67 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs Notre Dame 89-81 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Syracuse 78-79 Won Tue, Feb 17 vs Louisville 95-85 Sat, Feb 21 vs Boston College Wed, Feb 25 @ California Sat, Feb 28 @ Stanford Wed, Mar 04 vs Miami |
6 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Florida St. | 6 Florida St. Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Notre Dame 82-79 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Virginia 58-61 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Virginia Tech 92-69 Won Tue, Feb 17 vs Boston College 80-72 Sat, Feb 21 @ Clemson Tue, Feb 24 vs Miami Sat, Feb 28 @ Georgia Tech Wed, Mar 04 @ Pittsburgh |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
| California | 6 California Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Georgia Tech 90-85 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Clemson 55-77 Lost Wed, Feb 11 @ Syracuse 100-107 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Boston College 86-75 Sat, Feb 21 vs Stanford Wed, Feb 25 vs SMU Sat, Feb 28 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Mar 04 @ Georgia Tech |
7 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Tech | 6 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ N.C. State 73-82 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Clemson 76-66 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs Florida St. 69-92 Lost Tue, Feb 17 @ Miami 66-67 Sat, Feb 21 vs Wake Forest Sat, Feb 28 @ North Carolina Tue, Mar 03 vs Boston College Sat, Mar 07 @ Virginia |
8 | 14 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
| Syracuse | 6 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Virginia 59-72 Won Wed, Feb 11 vs California 107-100 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs SMU 79-78 Lost Mon, Feb 16 @ Duke 64-101 Sat, Feb 21 vs North Carolina Sat, Feb 28 @ Wake Forest Tue, Mar 03 @ Louisville Sat, Mar 07 vs Pittsburgh |
8 | 14 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 1% | <1% |
| Wake Forest | 5 Wake Forest Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Louisville 80-88 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Georgia Tech 83-67 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Stanford 68-63 Won Wed, Feb 18 vs Clemson 85-77 Sat, Feb 21 @ Virginia Tech Tue, Feb 24 @ Boston College Sat, Feb 28 vs Syracuse Tue, Mar 03 @ Virginia |
8 | 13 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 5% | 1% |
| Stanford | 5 Stanford Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Clemson 64-66 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Georgia Tech 95-72 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Boston College 70-64 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Wake Forest 63-68 Sat, Feb 21 @ California Wed, Feb 25 vs Pittsburgh Sat, Feb 28 vs SMU Wed, Mar 04 @ Notre Dame |
8 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 10% | 1% |
| Notre Dame | 3 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Louisville 65-76 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Florida St. 79-82 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ SMU 81-89 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Georgia Tech 89-74 Sat, Feb 21 @ Pittsburgh Tue, Feb 24 vs Duke Sat, Feb 28 vs N.C. State Wed, Mar 04 vs Stanford |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 54% | 31% |
| Georgia Tech | 2 Georgia Tech Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ California 85-90 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Stanford 72-95 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Wake Forest 67-83 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Notre Dame 74-89 Wed, Feb 18 vs Virginia Sat, Feb 21 @ Louisville Sat, Feb 28 vs Florida St. Wed, Mar 04 vs California |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Boston College | 2 Boston College Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Miami 68-74 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Stanford 64-70 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs California 75-86 Lost Tue, Feb 17 @ Florida St. 72-80 Sat, Feb 21 @ SMU Tue, Feb 24 vs Wake Forest Sat, Feb 28 @ Miami Tue, Mar 03 @ Virginia Tech |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Pittsburgh | 2 Pittsburgh Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Virginia 47-67 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs SMU 67-86 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Duke 54-70 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ North Carolina 65-79 Sat, Feb 21 vs Notre Dame Wed, Feb 25 @ Stanford Sat, Feb 28 @ California Wed, Mar 04 vs Florida St. |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 78% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 97% | ||
| (15)Notre Dame | 3 | 10 | 1% |
| (13)Wake Forest | 5 | 8 | <1% |
| (14)Stanford | 5 | 8 | <1% |
| (18)Pittsburgh | 2 | 11 | <1% |
| (11)Virginia Tech | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (17)Boston College | 2 | 11 | <1% |
| (9)Florida St. | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (10)California | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (16)Georgia Tech | 2 | 11 | <1% |
| (12)Syracuse | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (8)SMU | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (6)North Carolina | 8 | 5 | <1% |
| (3)Miami | 10 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)Virginia | 10 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)N.C. State | 10 | 4 | <1% |
| (5)Clemson | 10 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Duke | 13 | 1 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | California (18‑8) |
90‑70 | Away | Tue Dec 30, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | Stanford (16‑10) |
76‑80 | Away | Fri Jan 2, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Duke (24‑2) |
73‑84 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Boston College (9‑17) |
75‑62 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Virginia (22‑3) |
70‑79 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Pittsburgh (9‑17) |
100‑59 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Virginia Tech (17‑10) |
85‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 3:30 pm |
| 13 | Duke (24‑2) |
52‑83 | Away | Mon Jan 26, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | SMU (18‑8) |
88‑74 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 2:00 pm |
| 14 | Notre Dame (12‑14) |
76‑65 | Home | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Wake Forest (14‑12) |
88‑80 | Away | Sat Feb 7, 12:00 pm |
| 15 | N.C. State (19‑8) |
118‑77 | Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | SMU (18‑8) |
85‑95 | Away | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Georgia Tech (11‑15) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 2:15 pm | |
| 17 | North Carolina (20‑6) |
Away | Mon Feb 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Clemson (20‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, TBD | |
| 18 | Syracuse (15‑12) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Miami (21‑5) |
Away | Sat Mar 7, 2:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Carolina St. (6‑18) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 104‑45 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Jackson St. (9‑17) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 106‑70 | Home | Thu Nov 6 |
| 2 | Kentucky (17‑9) |
SECSEC | 96‑88 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Ohio (14‑13) |
MACMAC | 106‑81 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Cincinnati (14‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 74‑64 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan (10‑17) |
MACMAC | 87‑46 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | NJIT (15‑12) |
America EastAmerica East | 104‑47 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Arkansas (19‑7) |
SECSEC | 80‑89 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 7:15 pm |
| 5 | Indiana (17‑9) |
Big 10Big 10 | 87‑78 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Memphis (12‑13) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 99‑73 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 3:30 pm |
| 7 | Tennessee (19‑7) |
SECSEC | 62‑83 | Away | Tue Dec 16, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Montana (14‑12) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 94‑54 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 12:00 pm |
| 15 | Baylor (13‑13) |
Big 12Big 12 | 82‑71 | Away | Sat Feb 14, 4:00 pm |