Where are the Duke Blue Devils going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Duke standings table presents the probabilities of the Blue Devils winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 6i Duke Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs Virginia Tech 88-65 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ SMU 89-62 Won Tue, Jan 07 vs Pittsburgh 76-47 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Notre Dame 86-78 Tue, Jan 14 vs Miami Sat, Jan 18 @ Boston College Sat, Jan 25 @ Wake Forest Mon, Jan 27 vs N.C. State |
0 | 6 | 63% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Louisville | 5 Louisville Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 vs North Carolina 83-70 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Virginia 70-50 Won Tue, Jan 07 vs Clemson 74-64 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Pittsburgh 82-78 Tue, Jan 14 @ Syracuse Sat, Jan 18 vs Virginia Tue, Jan 21 @ SMU Thu, Jan 30 vs Wake Forest |
1 | 6 | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Clemson | 5 Clemson Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 vs Stanford 85-71 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs California 80-68 Lost Tue, Jan 07 @ Louisville 64-74 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Florida St. 77-57 Tue, Jan 14 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Jan 18 @ Pittsburgh Wed, Jan 22 vs Syracuse Sat, Jan 25 @ Virginia Tech |
1 | 6 | 11% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| North Carolina | 4 North Carolina Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 @ Louisville 70-83 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Notre Dame 74-73 Won Tue, Jan 07 vs SMU 82-67 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ N.C. State 63-61 Wed, Jan 15 vs California Sat, Jan 18 vs Stanford Tue, Jan 21 @ Wake Forest Sat, Jan 25 vs Boston College |
1 | 5 | 5% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wake Forest | 4 Wake Forest Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ Clemson 62-73 Won Tue, Dec 31 @ Syracuse 81-71 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs N.C. State 77-59 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Miami 88-78 Wed, Jan 15 vs Stanford Sat, Jan 18 @ Virginia Tech Tue, Jan 21 vs North Carolina Sat, Jan 25 vs Duke |
1 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh | 3 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 vs California 86-74 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Stanford 83-68 Lost Tue, Jan 07 @ Duke 47-76 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Louisville 78-82 Wed, Jan 15 @ Florida St. Sat, Jan 18 vs Clemson Sat, Jan 25 @ Syracuse Tue, Jan 28 vs North Carolina |
2 | 5 | 2% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stanford | 3 Stanford Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 @ Clemson 71-85 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Pittsburgh 68-83 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Virginia Tech 70-59 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Virginia 88-65 Wed, Jan 15 @ Wake Forest Sat, Jan 18 @ North Carolina Wed, Jan 22 vs Miami Sat, Jan 25 vs Florida St. |
2 | 5 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| SMU | 3 SMU Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 29 vs Longwood 98-82 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Duke 62-89 Lost Tue, Jan 07 @ North Carolina 67-82 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Georgia Tech 93-71 Wed, Jan 15 @ Virginia Sat, Jan 18 @ Miami Tue, Jan 21 vs Louisville Sat, Jan 25 @ N.C. State |
2 | 5 | 1% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| N.C. State | 2 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ Virginia 67-70 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Wake Forest 59-77 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Notre Dame 66-65 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs North Carolina 61-63 Wed, Jan 15 @ Virginia Tech Sat, Jan 18 vs California Sat, Jan 25 vs SMU Mon, Jan 27 @ Duke |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 15% |
| Florida St. | 2 Florida St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 vs Louisville 76-90 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Syracuse 90-74 Won Wed, Jan 08 @ Miami 80-65 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Clemson 57-77 Wed, Jan 15 vs Pittsburgh Sat, Jan 18 vs Georgia Tech Wed, Jan 22 @ California Sat, Jan 25 @ Stanford |
3 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Virginia Tech | 2 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 @ Duke 65-88 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Miami 86-85 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Stanford 59-70 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ California 71-68 Wed, Jan 15 vs N.C. State Sat, Jan 18 vs Wake Forest Wed, Jan 22 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Jan 25 vs Clemson |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 26% |
| Syracuse | 2 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 vs Wake Forest 71-81 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Florida St. 74-90 Won Tue, Jan 07 vs Georgia Tech 62-55 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Boston College 79-71 Tue, Jan 14 vs Louisville Sat, Jan 18 vs Notre Dame Wed, Jan 22 @ Clemson Sat, Jan 25 vs Pittsburgh |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 16% |
| Georgia Tech | 2 Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs Notre Dame 86-75 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Boston College 85-64 Lost Tue, Jan 07 @ Syracuse 55-62 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ SMU 71-93 Tue, Jan 14 vs Clemson Sat, Jan 18 @ Florida St. Wed, Jan 22 vs Virginia Tech Tue, Jan 28 @ Notre Dame |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 28% |
| Notre Dame | 2 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs North Carolina 73-74 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ N.C. State 65-66 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Duke 78-86 Won Mon, Jan 13 vs Boston College 78-60 Sat, Jan 18 @ Syracuse Sat, Jan 25 @ Virginia Tue, Jan 28 vs Georgia Tech Sat, Feb 01 @ Miami |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 20% |
| California | 1 California Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 @ Pittsburgh 74-86 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Clemson 68-80 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Virginia 75-61 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Virginia Tech 68-71 Wed, Jan 15 @ North Carolina Sat, Jan 18 @ N.C. State Wed, Jan 22 vs Florida St. Sat, Jan 25 vs Miami |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 32% |
| Virginia | 1 Virginia Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 31 vs N.C. State 70-67 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Louisville 50-70 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ California 61-75 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Stanford 65-88 Wed, Jan 15 vs SMU Sat, Jan 18 @ Louisville Tue, Jan 21 vs Boston College Sat, Jan 25 vs Notre Dame |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 18% |
| Boston College | 1 Boston College Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 vs Miami 78-68 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Georgia Tech 64-85 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Syracuse 71-79 Lost Mon, Jan 13 @ Notre Dame 60-78 Sat, Jan 18 vs Duke Tue, Jan 21 @ Virginia Sat, Jan 25 @ North Carolina Sat, Feb 01 vs Florida St. |
5 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 49% |
| Miami | 0 Miami Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 @ Boston College 68-78 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Virginia Tech 85-86 Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs Florida St. 65-80 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Wake Forest 78-88 Tue, Jan 14 @ Duke Sat, Jan 18 vs SMU Wed, Jan 22 @ Stanford Sat, Jan 25 @ California |
5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 91% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (8)SMU | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (13)Georgia Tech | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (17)Boston College | 1 | 5 | <1% |
| (2)Louisville | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Clemson | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| (4)North Carolina | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)Wake Forest | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)Pittsburgh | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Stanford | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (9)N.C. State | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (10)Florida St. | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (11)Virginia Tech | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (12)Syracuse | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (14)Notre Dame | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (15)California | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (16)Virginia | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (18)Miami | 0 | 5 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Louisville (12‑5) |
76‑65 | Away | Sun Dec 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Georgia Tech (8‑9) |
82‑56 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 12:00 pm |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (7‑9) |
88‑65 | Home | Tue Dec 31, 4:30 pm |
| 9 | SMU (12‑4) |
89‑62 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:15 pm |
| 10 | Pittsburgh (12‑4) |
76‑47 | Home | Tue Jan 7, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Notre Dame (8‑9) |
86‑78 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Miami (4‑12) |
Home | Tue Jan 14, 9:00 pm | |
| 11 | Boston College (9‑8) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Wake Forest (12‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, TBD | |
| 13 | N.C. State (9‑7) |
Home | Mon Jan 27, 8:30 pm | |
| 13 | North Carolina (11‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 6:30 pm | |
| 14 | Syracuse (8‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Clemson (13‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, TBD | |
| 15 | California (8‑8) |
Home | Wed Feb 12, 9:00 pm | |
| 15 | Stanford (11‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | Virginia (8‑8) |
Away | Mon Feb 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Miami (4‑12) |
Away | Tue Feb 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Florida St. (11‑5) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Wake Forest (12‑4) |
Home | Mon Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | North Carolina (11‑6) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maine (10‑8) |
America EastAmerica East | 96‑62 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Army (8‑8) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 100‑58 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Kentucky (13‑3) |
SECSEC | 72‑77 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 9:00 pm |
| 2 | Wofford (8‑8) |
SouthernSouthern | 86‑35 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Arizona (10‑4) |
Big 12Big 12 | 69‑55 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 10:30 pm |
| 4 | Kansas (12‑3) |
Big 12Big 12 | 72‑75 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Seattle (6‑10) |
WACWAC | 70‑48 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Auburn (15‑1) |
SECSEC | 84‑78 | Home | Wed Dec 4, 9:15 pm |
| 6 | Incarnate Word (9‑8) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 72‑46 | Home | Tue Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | George Mason (12‑5) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 68‑47 | Home | Tue Dec 17, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Illinois (12‑4) |
Big 10Big 10 | Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm |