Where are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the Tar Heels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Notre Dame | 0i Notre Dame Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 01 @ Villanova 74-72 Won Thu, Nov 05 vs Mercyhurst 83-56 Mon, Nov 09 vs Eastern Illinois Wed, Nov 11 vs S. Carolina St. Tue, Nov 17 vs Florida Tue, Nov 24 vs Central Michigan |
0 | 0 | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% |
| Georgia Tech | 0 Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 03 vs Hampton 75-55 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Georgia Southern 95-83 Tue, Nov 10 vs E. Kentucky Sat, Nov 14 vs NC Ashvlle Tue, Nov 17 vs Norfolk St. Fri, Nov 20 vs Georgia |
0 | 0 | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| N.C. State | 0 N.C. State Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Campbell 83-64 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs E. Tennessee St. 77-63 Tue, Nov 10 vs Presbyter. Fri, Nov 13 vs Troy Thu, Nov 19 @ Murray State Wed, Nov 25 vs Norfolk St. |
0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Boston College | 0 Boston College Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 03 vs Wagner 76-50 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs UMass 71-55 Tue, Nov 10 vs MD Eastern Shore Sun, Nov 15 vs New Hampshire Wed, Nov 18 @ Harvard Sun, Nov 22 vs NJIT |
0 | 0 | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| SMU | 0 SMU Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Southern 85-72 Won Thu, Nov 05 vs VMI 95-70 Tue, Nov 10 vs Prairie View A&M Fri, Nov 13 vs Ball State Tue, Nov 17 vs O. Roberts Fri, Nov 20 vs South Alabama |
0 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Virginia Tech | 0 Virginia Tech Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 03 vs Coppin St. 88-54 Won Thu, Nov 05 vs Mercer 96-67 Tue, Nov 10 @ Iowa Fri, Nov 13 vs Mount St. Mary's Mon, Nov 16 vs Richmond Fri, Nov 20 vs N. Western |
0 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 14% |
| North Carolina | 0 North Carolina Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Western Carolina 80-72 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Wofford 109-70 Tue, Nov 10 vs Wyoming Fri, Nov 13 vs Georgia Fri, Nov 20 vs Marshall Mon, Nov 23 vs Monmouth |
0 | 0 | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 14% |
| Duke | 0 Duke Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Army 84-50 Won Thu, Nov 05 vs Coast.Car. 113-52 Tue, Nov 10 vs Michigan St. Fri, Nov 13 vs SIU Ed.ville Tue, Nov 17 vs Illinois Sat, Nov 21 vs Washington St. |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 14% |
| Pittsburgh | 0 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Rider 95-57 Won Thu, Nov 05 vs Buffalo 80-61 Sun, Nov 08 vs Penn State Fri, Nov 13 @ Butler Tue, Nov 17 vs Villanova Fri, Nov 20 vs Central Michigan |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 15% |
| Virginia | 0 Virginia Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 03 vs Drexel 89-60 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs N. Eastern 97-72 Sun, Nov 08 vs Arkansas Tue, Nov 10 vs Bucknell Fri, Nov 13 @ Maryland Tue, Nov 17 vs Old Dominion |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 14% |
| Syracuse | 0 Syracuse Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs New Haven 74-58 Won Thu, Nov 05 vs Central CT 102-49 Mon, Nov 09 @ Indiana Sun, Nov 15 @ St. John's Wed, Nov 18 vs Cornell Sat, Nov 21 vs Lafayette |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Stanford | 0 Stanford Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Eastern Washington 74-65 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Oakland 81-63 Mon, Nov 09 vs Rice Fri, Nov 13 @ UNLV Tue, Nov 17 vs UC Irvine Thu, Nov 19 vs Sacram. St. |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Clemson | 0 Clemson Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Stetson 85-72 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs American 82-73 Mon, Nov 09 vs North Dakota Fri, Nov 13 vs Georgetwn Mon, Nov 16 vs Citadel Mon, Nov 23 vs Ole Miss |
0 | 0 | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Florida St. | 0 Florida St. Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 @ Florida A&M 112-69 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Troy 91-68 Tue, Nov 10 vs Florida Fri, Nov 13 vs TX A&M C.C. Tue, Nov 17 vs Ball State Fri, Nov 20 vs Green Bay |
0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 19% |
| Louisville | 0 Louisville Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Chattan. 84-70 Sat, Nov 07 vs Morehead St. Sun, Nov 15 @ Memphis Thu, Nov 19 vs Stetson Tue, Nov 24 @ Texas Tech |
0 | 0 | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 20% |
| California | 0 California Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Adams State 115-86 Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Radford 84-70 Sun, Nov 08 vs Houston Wed, Nov 11 vs USC Sat, Nov 14 vs Utah Tech Thu, Nov 19 vs E. TX A&M |
0 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 23% |
| Miami | 0 Miami Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ Florida 67-77 Won Fri, Nov 06 vs Wagner 83-57 Mon, Nov 09 vs North Florida Fri, Nov 13 vs N Alabama Tue, Nov 17 vs Rider Fri, Nov 20 vs Manhattan |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 29% |
| Wake Forest | 0 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 02 vs MD Eastern Shore 83-62 Lost Thu, Nov 05 @ Vanderbilt 51-74 Tue, Nov 10 vs Charleston Southern Sat, Nov 14 vs Southern Utah Tue, Nov 17 vs Monmouth Sat, Nov 21 vs Western Carolina |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 31% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 54% | ||
| (14)Florida St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (18)Wake Forest | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (17)Miami | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (6)Virginia Tech | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (16)California | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (13)Clemson | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (15)Louisville | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (12)Stanford | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (11)Syracuse | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (5)SMU | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (10)Virginia | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (2)Georgia Tech | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)Notre Dame | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (9)Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)Duke | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (4)Boston College | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (3)N.C. State | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| Elimination | 14% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | California (2‑0) |
Home | Wed Dec 30, 4:00 pm | |
| 10 | Boston College (2‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 2, 4:00 pm | |
| 11 | Louisville (1‑0) |
Away | Tue Jan 5, 9:00 pm | |
| 11 | N.C. State (2‑0) |
Home | Sat Jan 9, 12:00 pm | |
| 12 | Florida St. (2‑0) |
Away | Wed Jan 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Stanford (2‑0) |
Home | Sat Jan 16, 2:15 pm | |
| 13 | Virginia (2‑0) |
Home | Tue Jan 19, 9:00 pm | |
| 13 | Syracuse (2‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 23, 12:00 pm | |
| 14 | SMU (2‑0) |
Home | Tue Jan 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Notre Dame (2‑0) |
Away | Tue Feb 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Georgia Tech (2‑0) |
Home | Sat Feb 6, 2:15 pm | |
| 16 | Louisville (1‑0) |
Home | Mon Feb 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Duke (2‑0) |
Away | Sat Feb 13, 5:30 pm | |
| 17 | Wake Forest (1‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Miami (1‑1) |
Home | Mon Feb 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Virginia Tech (2‑0) |
Away | Sat Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Pittsburgh (2‑0) |
Away | Tue Mar 2, 9:00 pm | |
| 19 | Duke (2‑0) |
Home | Sat Mar 6, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Western Carolina (0‑1) |
SouthernSouthern | 80‑72 | Home | Mon Nov 2, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Wofford (0‑2) |
SouthernSouthern | 109‑70 | Home | Fri Nov 6, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Wyoming (2‑0) |
Mountain WestMntn West | Home | Tue Nov 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 3 | Georgia (2‑0) |
SECSEC | Home | Fri Nov 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 4 | Marshall (1‑0) |
SunbeltSunbelt | Home | Fri Nov 20, 9:00 pm | |
| 5 | Monmouth (0‑1) |
CoastalCoastal | Home | Mon Nov 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | West Virginia (2‑0) |
Big 12Big 12 | Home | Fri Nov 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 6 | Arkansas (1‑0) |
SECSEC | Home | Tue Dec 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 6 | Butler (2‑0) |
Big EastBig East | Home | Sun Dec 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 7 | Georgetown (1‑0) |
Big EastBig East | Away | Sat Dec 12, 12:00 pm | |
| 8 | N.C. State (2‑0) |
ACCACC | Away | Tue Dec 15, 7:00 pm | |
| 8 | Kentucky (2‑0) |
SECSEC | Away | Sat Dec 19, 2:30 pm | |
| 9 | Citadel (1‑1) |
SouthernSouthern | Home | Mon Dec 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Illinois (2‑0) |
Big 10Big 10 | Home | Sat Jan 30, TBD |