The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Duke (11‑1) vs Georgia Tech (8‑4) |
36 | Duke Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (6‑6) vs Miami (10‑2) |
2 | Pittsburgh Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (6‑6) vs North Carolina (11‑1) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 19% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California (11‑1) vs Louisville (10‑2) |
1 | California Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (9‑3) vs Syracuse (8‑4) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (9‑3) vs Stanford (10‑2) |
0 | Notre Dame Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (10‑1) vs Virginia Tech (11‑2) |
0 | Virginia Wins | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 19% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (9‑3) vs N.C. State (8‑4) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||