The Most Important Games for the Louisville Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Louisville Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Louisville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Florida St. (13‑13) vs Clemson (20‑7) |
8 | Florida St. Wins | X | 1% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Clemson Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (15‑12) vs North Carolina (20‑6) |
3 | Syracuse Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Boston College (9‑17) vs SMU (18‑8) |
2 | Boston College Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech (11‑15) vs Virginia (22‑3) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | X | 2% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Stanford (16‑10) vs California (18‑8) |
1 | Stanford Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| California Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech (17‑10) vs Wake Forest (14‑12) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||