The Most Important Games for the Louisville Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Louisville Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Louisville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Louisville (12‑5) vs Syracuse (8‑8) |
22 | Louisville Wins | 17% | 36% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 7% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (8‑8) vs SMU (12‑4) |
5 | Virginia Wins | 15% | 34% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | 15% | 33% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (11‑5) vs Pittsburgh (12‑4) |
2 | Florida St. Wins | 15% | 35% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 15% | 33% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami (4‑12) vs Duke (14‑2) |
2 | Miami Wins | 23% | 28% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | 14% | 33% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California (8‑8) vs North Carolina (11‑6) |
1 | California Wins | 15% | 35% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 15% | 33% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (11‑5) vs Wake Forest (12‑4) |
1 | Stanford Wins | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 15% | 33% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (8‑9) vs Clemson (13‑4) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 16% | 36% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 15% | 34% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State (9‑7) vs Virginia Tech (7‑9) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 15% | 34% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 15% | 33% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||