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Mon Nov 2 2:15 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 6 of 22

Dartmouth Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Dartmouth Big Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Big Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dartmouth Big Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Dartmouth Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(2‑0)
vs
Yale
(1‑0)
1 Game Remaining		 16 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game 15% 14% 14% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game 9% 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Colgate
(1‑7)
vs
Princeton
(2‑0)
1 Game Remaining		 3 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Cornell
(1‑1)
vs
Quinnipiac
(5‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 14% 14% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
vs
Rensselaer
(4‑4)
1 Game Remaining		 1 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Harvard
(1‑1)
vs
Brown
(0‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Harvard Sweeps 1 Game 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Brown Sweeps 1 Game 13% 14% 13% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Clarkson
(3‑4‑1)
vs
Union
(5‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Union Sweeps 1 Game 12% 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%


Dartmouth Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(2‑0)
vs
Yale
(1‑0)		 16 Dartmouth Wins 15% 14% 14% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Yale Wins 9% 12% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 3% 1% <1%
Colgate
(1‑7)
vs
Princeton
(2‑0)		 3 Colgate Wins 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Princeton Wins 13% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Cornell
(1‑1)
vs
Quinnipiac
(5‑2)		 2 Cornell Wins 14% 14% 12% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Quinnipiac Wins 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
vs
Rensselaer
(4‑4)		 1 St. Lawrence Wins 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Harvard
(1‑1)
vs
Brown
(0‑1)		 0 Harvard Wins 13% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Brown Wins 13% 14% 13% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Clarkson
(3‑4‑1)
vs
Union
(5‑2)		 0 Clarkson Wins 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Union Wins 12% 14% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament