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Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 21 of 22

Dartmouth Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Dartmouth Big Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Big Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dartmouth Big Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Dartmouth Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 45 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 11% 23% 38% 19% 7% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game X <1% 1% 10% 31% 30% 20% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)
vs
Union
(17‑10‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 20 Harvard Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 10% 23% 30% 19% 12% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Union Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 6% 16% 41% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)
vs
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 19 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 11% 23% 30% 21% 10% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 7% 18% 38% 23% 11% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)
vs
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)
1 Game Remaining		 7 Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 7% 23% 43% 15% 9% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cornell Sweeps 1 Game <1% 2% 9% 16% 29% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Brown
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Brown Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 8% 20% 34% 20% 12% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 8% 19% 37% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)
vs
Yale
(6‑17‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game X 1% 8% 20% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Yale Sweeps 1 Game <1% 1% 8% 19% 36% 22% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^


Dartmouth Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)		 45 Dartmouth Wins <1% 1% 11% 23% 38% 19% 7% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rensselaer Wins X <1% 1% 10% 31% 30% 20% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)
vs
Union
(17‑10‑3)		 20 Harvard Wins <1% 1% 10% 23% 30% 19% 12% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Union Wins <1% 1% 6% 16% 41% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)
vs
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)		 19 St. Lawrence Wins <1% 2% 11% 23% 30% 21% 10% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Colgate Wins <1% 1% 7% 18% 38% 23% 11% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)
vs
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)		 7 Clarkson Wins <1% <1% 7% 23% 43% 15% 9% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cornell Wins <1% 2% 9% 16% 29% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Brown
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)		 1 Brown Wins <1% 1% 8% 20% 34% 20% 12% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Princeton Wins <1% 1% 8% 19% 37% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)
vs
Yale
(6‑17‑2)		 0 Quinnipiac Wins X 1% 8% 20% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 8% 19% 35% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Yale Wins <1% 1% 8% 19% 36% 22% 11% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament