The Most Important Games for the Dartmouth Big Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Big Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dartmouth Big Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Dartmouth (4‑0) vs St. Lawrence (2‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
8 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | 54% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | 43% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clarkson (4‑6) vs Harvard (2‑1‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | 54% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colgate (2‑7‑1) vs Yale (2‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | 56% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brown (1‑3) vs Cornell (2‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 55% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Dartmouth (4‑0) vs St. Lawrence (2‑7‑1) |
8 | Dartmouth Wins | 54% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence Wins | 43% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clarkson (4‑6) vs Harvard (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Clarkson Wins | 54% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Harvard Wins | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colgate (2‑7‑1) vs Yale (2‑1) |
0 | Colgate Wins | 56% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yale Wins | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brown (1‑3) vs Cornell (2‑2) |
0 | Brown Wins | 55% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cornell Wins | 53% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||