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Sat Jan 10 10:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 16 of 22

Dartmouth Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Dartmouth Big Green are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Big Green final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dartmouth Big Green fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Dartmouth Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(13‑4)
vs
Clarkson
(11‑11)
1 Game Remaining		 15 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game 42% 28% 16% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 26% 27% 20% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown
(4‑13)
vs
Union
(13‑6‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 3 Brown Sweeps 1 Game 38% 28% 17% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Union Sweeps 1 Game 38% 27% 16% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(2‑18‑2)
vs
Harvard
(7‑6‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 2 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 38% 28% 17% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game 37% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale
(5‑11)
vs
Rensselaer
(5‑16)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Yale Sweeps 1 Game 38% 27% 17% 10% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 38% 27% 16% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate
(7‑11‑2)
vs
Quinnipiac
(16‑4‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 43% 25% 15% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 36% 28% 17% 10% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(11‑4)
vs
Princeton
(11‑5)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 39% 26% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Dartmouth Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Dartmouth Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Dartmouth
(13‑4)
vs
Clarkson
(11‑11)		 15 Dartmouth Wins 42% 28% 16% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Clarkson Wins 26% 27% 20% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown
(4‑13)
vs
Union
(13‑6‑2)		 3 Brown Wins 38% 28% 17% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Union Wins 38% 27% 16% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(2‑18‑2)
vs
Harvard
(7‑6‑1)		 2 St. Lawrence Wins 38% 28% 17% 9% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Harvard Wins 37% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale
(5‑11)
vs
Rensselaer
(5‑16)		 1 Yale Wins 38% 27% 17% 10% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins 38% 27% 16% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate
(7‑11‑2)
vs
Quinnipiac
(16‑4‑2)		 1 Colgate Wins 43% 25% 15% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac Wins 36% 28% 17% 10% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cornell
(11‑4)
vs
Princeton
(11‑5)		 1 Cornell Wins 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 38% 27% 17% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton Wins 39% 26% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament