The Most Important Games for the Union Dutchmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dutchmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union Dutchmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Union Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Colgate (2‑7‑1) vs Yale (2‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Clarkson (4‑6) vs Harvard (2‑1‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| St. Lawrence (2‑7‑1) vs Dartmouth (4‑0) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Cornell (2‑2) vs Brown (1‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Colgate (2‑7‑1) vs Yale (2‑1) |
1 | Colgate Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Yale Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Clarkson (4‑6) vs Harvard (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Clarkson Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Harvard Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| St. Lawrence (2‑7‑1) vs Dartmouth (4‑0) |
0 | St. Lawrence Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Dartmouth Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Cornell (2‑2) vs Brown (1‑3) |
0 | Cornell Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Brown Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||