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Mon Nov 2 2:15 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 6 of 22

Union Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Union Dutchmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dutchmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union Dutchmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Union Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Union Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Union
(5‑2)
vs
Clarkson
(3‑4‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 16 Union Sweeps 1 Game 26% 20% 16% 13% 10% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 18% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 7% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Brown
(0‑1)
vs
Harvard
(1‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Brown Sweeps 1 Game 25% 19% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game 24% 19% 16% 12% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(2‑0)
vs
Yale
(1‑0)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game 24% 19% 16% 13% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game 24% 19% 15% 13% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton
(2‑0)
vs
Colgate
(1‑7)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 24% 19% 16% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 25% 18% 16% 12% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(5‑2)
vs
Cornell
(1‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 25% 19% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 25% 18% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
vs
Rensselaer
(4‑4)
1 Game Remaining		 1 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 24% 19% 16% 13% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 24% 19% 15% 13% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%


Union Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Union Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Union
(5‑2)
vs
Clarkson
(3‑4‑1)		 16 Union Wins 26% 20% 16% 13% 10% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Clarkson Wins 18% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 7% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Brown
(0‑1)
vs
Harvard
(1‑1)		 1 Brown Wins 25% 19% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Harvard Wins 24% 19% 16% 12% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(2‑0)
vs
Yale
(1‑0)		 1 Dartmouth Wins 24% 19% 16% 13% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale Wins 24% 19% 15% 13% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton
(2‑0)
vs
Colgate
(1‑7)		 1 Princeton Wins 24% 19% 16% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate Wins 25% 18% 16% 12% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(5‑2)
vs
Cornell
(1‑1)		 1 Quinnipiac Wins 25% 19% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Cornell Wins 25% 18% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(0‑4)
vs
Rensselaer
(4‑4)		 1 St. Lawrence Wins 24% 19% 16% 13% 11% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 24% 19% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins 24% 19% 15% 13% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament