The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (5‑7‑10) vs Fire (11‑6‑4) |
41 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 15% | 59% | ||
| Nashville SC (16‑2‑4) vs NY City FC (7‑8‑7) |
6 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 51% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑8‑6) vs Orlando City SC (7‑11‑4) |
5 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 52% | ||
| Sounders (7‑9‑5) vs Red Bull (7‑10‑5) |
4 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 17% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 52% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑11‑6) vs Union (6‑10‑6) |
4 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 15% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 51% | ||
| Dynamo (11‑7‑3) vs Charlotte FC (10‑7‑5) |
3 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Rapids (10‑11‑1) vs Crew (5‑12‑5) |
3 | Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 51% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑6) vs Atlanta United (6‑13‑3) |
3 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 52% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (8‑7‑7) vs D.C. United (5‑7‑10) |
2 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 52% | ||
| Galaxy (6‑9‑8) vs Revolution (11‑6‑4) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 50% | ||