The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (2‑6‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑3‑1) |
5 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Toronto FC (2‑6‑4) vs CF Montréal (1‑8‑3) |
5 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (5‑6‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (6‑2‑3) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| D.C. United (3‑6‑3) vs NY City FC (5‑5‑2) |
1 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑8‑3) vs Crew (7‑1‑4) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Nashville SC (6‑4‑2) vs Red Bulls (5‑4‑3) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| D.C. United (3‑6‑3) vs Nashville SC (6‑4‑2) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Fire (4‑4‑4) vs Charlotte FC (6‑5‑1) |
0 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (5‑6‑1) vs Revolution (5‑4‑2) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Charlotte FC (6‑5‑1) vs Orlando City SC (4‑2‑6) |
0 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Red Bulls (5‑4‑3) vs NY City FC (5‑5‑2) |
0 | Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (6‑2‑3) vs Orlando City SC (4‑2‑6) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Crew (7‑1‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑3‑1) |
0 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑9‑3) vs Union (7‑3‑2) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Atlanta United (2‑6‑4) vs Union (7‑3‑2) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| Austin FC (5‑6‑1) vs Atlanta United (2‑6‑4) |
0 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||