The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑7) vs Fire (11‑10‑6) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Fire Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑13‑9) vs CF Montréal (5‑15‑8) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑15‑9) vs NY City FC (13‑8‑5) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (16‑8‑4) vs Union (16‑6‑6) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Union Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orlando City SC (13‑7‑8) vs Whitecaps (14‑6‑7) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Bulls (11‑11‑6) vs Crew (12‑6‑9) |
0 | Red Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Crew Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Revolution (8‑12‑7) vs Charlotte FC (15‑11‑2) |
0 | Revolution Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nashville SC (15‑8‑5) vs Atlanta United (4‑12‑11) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||