The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Mavericks (23‑46) vs Hawks (37‑31) |
21 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (28‑40) vs Raptors (38‑29) |
16 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (45‑25) vs Grizzlies (23‑44) |
2 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (33‑35) vs Celtics (45‑23) |
1 | Warriors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Nets (17‑51) vs Thunder (54‑15) |
0 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Pacers (15‑54) vs Trail Blazers (33‑36) |
0 | Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ||