The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Pelicans (25‑53) vs Magic (41‑36) |
56 | Pelicans Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 7% | 23% | 24% | 42% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 32% | 48% | ^ | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (46‑31) vs Hornets (42‑36) |
37 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 34% | 38% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 20% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Spurs (59‑19) vs Sixers (43‑35) |
16 | Spurs Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 3% | 18% | 30% | 46% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (52‑25) vs Raptors (43‑34) |
5 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 6% | 16% | 28% | 46% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Knicks (50‑28) vs Hawks (45‑33) |
3 | Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 28% | 46% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Bucks (30‑47) vs Grizzlies (25‑52) |
0 | Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Bulls (29‑48) vs Suns (42‑35) |
0 | Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Suns Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Nets (18‑59) vs Wizards (17‑60) |
0 | Nets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers (48‑29) vs Pacers (18‑59) |
0 | Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 45% | ^ | ||