The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (40‑36) vs Celtics (50‑25) |
119 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 9% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 10% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 11% | 24% | 36% | 25% | ^ | ||
| Suns (42‑33) vs Magic (39‑35) |
51 | Suns Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 19% | 29% | 25% | 17% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 15% | 22% | 36% | 19% | ^ | ||
| Wizards (17‑58) vs Sixers (41‑34) |
36 | Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 7% | 22% | 24% | 28% | 16% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 33% | 19% | ^ | ||
| Nets (18‑57) vs Hornets (39‑36) |
26 | Nets Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 28% | 36% | 10% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 29% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Pistons (54‑21) vs Raptors (42‑32) |
2 | Pistons Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 16% | 26% | 32% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 6% | 17% | 26% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Bucks (29‑45) vs Mavericks (24‑51) |
0 | Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Mavericks Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Rockets (45‑29) vs Knicks (48‑27) |
0 | Rockets Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Lakers (49‑26) vs Cavaliers (47‑28) |
0 | Lakers Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Bulls (29‑46) vs Pacers (17‑58) |
0 | Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 31% | 18% | ^ | ||