The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (42‑39) vs Hawks (46‑35) |
36 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 73% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| Knicks (53‑28) vs Hornets (43‑38) |
28 | Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 55% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers (51‑30) vs Wizards (17‑64) |
0 | Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (55‑26) vs Magic (45‑36) |
0 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Pistons (59‑22) vs Pacers (19‑62) |
0 | Pistons Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Raptors (45‑36) vs Nets (20‑61) |
0 | Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Nets Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Sixers (44‑37) vs Bucks (32‑49) |
0 | Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Mavericks (25‑56) vs Bulls (31‑50) |
0 | Mavericks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 59% | ^ | ||