The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (3‑3) vs Clippers (3‑2) |
26 | Heat Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Clippers Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Pacers (1‑5) vs Bucks (4‑2) |
9 | Pacers Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Hawks (3‑4) vs Magic (3‑4) |
5 | Hawks Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Magic Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Wizards (1‑5) vs Knicks (3‑3) |
5 | Wizards Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Nets (0‑6) vs TimberwolvesT. Wolves (3‑3) |
4 | Nets Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Bulls (5‑1) vs Sixers (5‑1) |
3 | Bulls Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Jazz (2‑4) vs Celtics (3‑4) |
3 | Jazz Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Celtics Wins | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Grizzlies (3‑4) vs Pistons (4‑2) |
2 | Grizzlies Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Pistons Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Hornets (3‑4) vs Pelicans (0‑6) |
1 | Hornets Wins | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||