The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (39‑34) vs Cavaliers (45‑28) |
112 | Heat Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 16% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 9% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 10% | 17% | 21% | 24% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Kings (19‑54) vs Magic (38‑34) |
28 | Kings Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 15% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 17% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (48‑25) vs Hornets (38‑34) |
22 | Knicks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (48‑24) vs Hawks (41‑32) |
18 | Celtics Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 23% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Thunder (57‑16) vs Bulls (29‑43) |
3 | Thunder Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (52‑20) vs Pelicans (25‑48) |
0 | Pistons Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Pacers (16‑57) vs Clippers (37‑36) |
0 | Pacers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Clippers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (35‑38) vs Wizards (17‑55) |
0 | Warriors Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Lakers (47‑26) vs Nets (17‑56) |
0 | Lakers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ||