The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |||
| Heat (20‑18) vs Lakers (20‑17) |
46 | Heat Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Lakers Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | ||
| Suns (19‑19) vs Hawks (19‑19) |
9 | Suns Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Cavaliers (33‑5) vs Pacers (22‑18) |
7 | Cavaliers Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Raptors (9‑31) vs Celtics (28‑11) |
5 | Raptors Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Kings (20‑19) vs Bucks (20‑17) |
5 | Kings Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Thunder (32‑6) vs Sixers (15‑22) |
3 | Thunder Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Pelicans (8‑32) vs Bulls (18‑21) |
3 | Pelicans Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Trail Blazers (13‑25) vs Nets (13‑26) |
3 | Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Hornets (8‑28) vs Jazz (10‑28) |
3 | Hornets Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Jazz Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 6% | ||