The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (31‑29) vs Rockets (37‑21) |
65 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Rockets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 4% | ||
| Trail Blazers (29‑31) vs Hornets (29‑31) |
13 | Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 4% | ||
| Pistons (44‑14) vs Magic (31‑27) |
8 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 28% | 18% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Celtics (39‑20) vs Sixers (33‑26) |
8 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 28% | 18% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Wizards (16‑42) vs Raptors (34‑25) |
8 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Nets (15‑44) vs Cavaliers (37‑24) |
6 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 18% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 26% | 18% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Pacers (15‑45) vs Grizzlies (22‑36) |
4 | Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 4% | ||
| Bucks (26‑32) vs Bulls (24‑36) |
1 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 18% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Spurs (43‑16) vs Knicks (38‑22) |
0 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 4% | ||