The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑33) vs Spurs (53‑18) |
99 | Heat Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Spurs Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 27% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Thunder (56‑15) vs Sixers (39‑32) |
22 | Thunder Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 25% | 18% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 27% | 21% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (24‑46) vs Hawks (39‑32) |
20 | Grizzlies Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 18% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Pacers (15‑56) vs Magic (38‑32) |
20 | Pacers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Suns (39‑32) vs Raptors (39‑30) |
5 | Suns Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 26% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 19% | <1% | ||
| Clippers (35‑36) vs Bucks (29‑41) |
5 | Clippers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 25% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (28‑42) vs Rockets (43‑27) |
3 | Bulls Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 24% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Rockets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 19% | <1% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (43‑28) vs Celtics (47‑23) |
2 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 25% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (46‑25) vs Wizards (16‑54) |
1 | Knicks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Kings (18‑53) vs Nets (17‑53) |
0 | Kings Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (51‑19) vs Lakers (46‑25) |
0 | Pistons Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||
| Lakers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 20% | <1% | ||