The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (32‑29) vs Nets (15‑45) |
68 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 3% | ||
| Wizards (16‑44) vs Magic (31‑28) |
18 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Spurs (43‑17) vs Sixers (33‑27) |
16 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Bucks (26‑34) vs Hawks (31‑31) |
15 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 1% | ||
| Mavericks (21‑39) vs Hornets (30‑31) |
10 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Pistons (45‑14) vs Cavaliers (38‑24) |
2 | Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Knicks (39‑22) vs Raptors (35‑25) |
1 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Clippers (29‑31) vs Pacers (15‑46) |
1 | Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Bulls (25‑36) vs Thunder (47‑15) |
0 | Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 2% | ||