The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (29‑36) vs Celtics (47‑19) |
53 | Heat Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 40% | 32% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 34% | 37% | 19% | 1% | ||
| Pelicans (18‑48) vs Magic (30‑36) |
32 | Pelicans Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 40% | 32% | 15% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 39% | 17% | 1% | ||
| Nets (22‑43) vs Bulls (27‑38) |
9 | Nets Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 34% | 18% | 1% | ||
| Clippers (36‑30) vs Hawks (32‑34) |
9 | Clippers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 35% | 35% | 15% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 36% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Spurs (27‑37) vs Hornets (16‑49) |
3 | Spurs Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 17% | 1% | ||
| Wizards (13‑51) vs Pistons (37‑29) |
3 | Wizards Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 36% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 36% | 36% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Raptors (23‑43) vs Jazz (15‑51) |
2 | Raptors Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 35% | 35% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Jazz Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 36% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Pacers (36‑28) vs Sixers (22‑43) |
1 | Pacers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 36% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 36% | 15% | 1% | ||
| Lakers (40‑23) vs Bucks (36‑28) |
0 | Lakers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Grizzlies (42‑24) vs Cavaliers (55‑10) |
0 | Grizzlies Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% | ||