The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Pistons (58‑22) vs Hornets (43‑37) |
20 | Pistons Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 26% | 72% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 96% | ^ | ||
| Heat (41‑39) vs Wizards (17‑63) |
20 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 24% | 74% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| Pacers (19‑61) vs Sixers (43‑37) |
17 | Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 18% | 78% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 84% | ^ | ||
| Hawks (45‑35) vs Cavaliers (51‑29) |
0 | Hawks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (54‑26) vs Pelicans (26‑54) |
0 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Pelicans Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Knicks (52‑28) vs Raptors (45‑35) |
0 | Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Bucks (31‑49) vs Nets (20‑60) |
0 | Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Nets Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Bulls (31‑49) vs Magic (44‑36) |
0 | Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 82% | ^ | ||