The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (5‑6) vs Cavaliers (6‑6) |
19 | Heat Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Magic (4‑7) vs Bucks (1‑11) |
9 | Magic Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Knicks (6‑5) vs Pacers (4‑8) |
9 | Knicks Wins | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Pacers Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Hornets (4‑7) vs Suns (4‑6) |
6 | Hornets Wins | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Suns Wins | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Hawks (7‑5) vs Bulls (1‑9) |
5 | Hawks Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Raptors (5‑6) vs Sixers (9‑3) |
5 | Raptors Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Wizards (4‑8) vs Pistons (7‑3) |
0 | Wizards Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Pistons Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 30% | ||