The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Jazz (21‑49) vs Sixers (38‑32) |
28 | Jazz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 21% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 14% | <1% | ||
| Rockets (41‑27) vs Hawks (38‑31) |
21 | Rockets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 15% | <1% | ||
| Lakers (45‑25) vs Magic (38‑31) |
20 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Nuggets (42‑28) vs Raptors (39‑29) |
12 | Nuggets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 14% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans (25‑46) vs Cavaliers (43‑27) |
6 | Pelicans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 14% | <1% | ||
| Nets (17‑52) vs Knicks (45‑25) |
6 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 14% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (24‑44) vs Celtics (46‑23) |
3 | Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 14% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (33‑36) vs Pistons (50‑19) |
1 | Warriors Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Suns (39‑31) vs Bucks (28‑41) |
0 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑53) vs Thunder (55‑15) |
0 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Spurs (52‑18) vs Pacers (15‑55) |
0 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% | ||