The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (38‑34) vs Cavaliers (45‑27) |
102 | Heat Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 16% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 29% | <1% | ||
| Kings (19‑54) vs Magic (38‑34) |
33 | Kings Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (48‑25) vs Hornets (38‑34) |
25 | Knicks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 21% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 22% | 30% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (29‑42) vs Sixers (39‑33) |
21 | Bulls Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 24% | 27% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (52‑19) vs Hawks (40‑32) |
17 | Pistons Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 27% | <1% | ||
| Clippers (36‑36) vs Raptors (40‑31) |
8 | Clippers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (29‑42) vs Trail Blazers (36‑37) |
4 | Bucks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Celtics (47‑24) vs Thunder (57‑15) |
4 | Celtics Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Thunder Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Pacers (16‑56) vs Lakers (46‑26) |
0 | Pacers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Lakers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Jazz (21‑51) vs Wizards (16‑55) |
0 | Jazz Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (34‑38) vs Nets (17‑55) |
0 | Warriors Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 25% | <1% | ||