The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (19‑16) vs Pelicans (8‑28) |
42 | Heat Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Celtics (22‑12) vs Bulls (17‑18) |
4 | Celtics Wins | 2% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Bulls Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Pistons (26‑9) vs Knicks (23‑12) |
4 | Pistons Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Nuggets (23‑12) vs Sixers (19‑14) |
4 | Nuggets Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (22‑13) vs Wizards (9‑24) |
3 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Wizards Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Raptors (21‑15) vs Hawks (17‑20) |
1 | Raptors Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Bucks (15‑20) vs Kings (8‑27) |
0 | Bucks Wins | 2% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Kings Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||