The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (39‑35) vs Pacers (16‑58) |
112 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 16% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Pacers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 30% | 33% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (49‑24) vs Hornets (39‑35) |
18 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 29% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Raptors (41‑32) vs Magic (39‑34) |
18 | Raptors Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 29% | 23% | ^ | ||
| Jazz (21‑54) vs Cavaliers (46‑28) |
2 | Jazz Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 27% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Bucks (29‑44) vs Clippers (38‑36) |
0 | Bucks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Clippers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Nets (17‑57) vs Kings (19‑56) |
0 | Nets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Kings Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Trail Blazers (37‑38) vs Wizards (17‑56) |
0 | Trail Blazers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Thunder (58‑16) vs Knicks (48‑26) |
0 | Thunder Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Knicks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Spurs (56‑18) vs Bulls (29‑45) |
0 | Spurs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 22% | ^ | ||