The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (3‑2) vs Lakers (4‑2) |
23 | Heat Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Lakers Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 27% | ||
| Cavaliers (3‑3) vs Hawks (3‑3) |
9 | Cavaliers Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Hawks Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 27% | ||
| Jazz (2‑3) vs Hornets (2‑4) |
5 | Jazz Wins | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Hornets Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Bulls (5‑0) vs Knicks (2‑3) |
4 | Bulls Wins | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Knicks Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Raptors (2‑4) vs Grizzlies (3‑3) |
3 | Raptors Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Pacers (1‑5) vs Bucks (4‑2) |
2 | Pacers Wins | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Bucks Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Nets (0‑5) vs Sixers (4‑1) |
2 | Nets Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||
| Sixers Wins | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 26% | ||