The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (41‑37) vs Raptors (43‑35) |
120 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 45% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 15% | 77% | ^ | ||
| Pistons (57‑21) vs Magic (42‑36) |
33 | Pistons Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 21% | 67% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (53‑25) vs Hornets (43‑36) |
27 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 20% | 61% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 75% | ^ | ||
| Spurs (59‑19) vs Sixers (43‑35) |
15 | Spurs Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 67% | ^ | ||
| Knicks (50‑28) vs Hawks (45‑33) |
4 | Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 64% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Grizzlies (25‑53) vs Cavaliers (49‑29) |
0 | Grizzlies Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Pacers (18‑60) vs TimberwolvesT. Wolves (46‑32) |
0 | Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Wizards (17‑61) vs Bulls (29‑49) |
0 | Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Nets (19‑59) vs Bucks (31‑47) |
0 | Nets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 65% | ^ | ||