The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (26‑24) vs Bulls (24‑25) |
69 | Heat Wins | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Spurs (32‑16) vs Magic (25‑22) |
14 | Spurs Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Lakers (29‑18) vs Knicks (30‑18) |
7 | Lakers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Knicks Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Pistons (35‑12) vs Nets (13‑34) |
5 | Pistons Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Nets Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Jazz (15‑34) vs Raptors (29‑21) |
3 | Jazz Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Pelicans (13‑38) vs Hornets (22‑28) |
3 | Pelicans Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Bucks (18‑28) vs Celtics (30‑18) |
2 | Bucks Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Rockets (30‑17) vs Pacers (13‑36) |
2 | Rockets Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Kings (12‑38) vs Wizards (12‑35) |
2 | Kings Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Wizards Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Cavaliers (29‑21) vs Trail Blazers (23‑26) |
0 | Cavaliers Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Trail Blazers Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||