The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Cavaliers (44‑27) vs Magic (38‑33) |
22 | Cavaliers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Magic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 27% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Bulls (29‑42) vs Sixers (39‑33) |
22 | Bulls Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 21% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Pistons (52‑19) vs Hawks (40‑32) |
21 | Pistons Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 25% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 27% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Kings (19‑53) vs Hornets (37‑34) |
20 | Kings Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 29% | 17% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 26% | <1% | ||
| Thunder (57‑15) vs Celtics (47‑24) |
10 | Thunder Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 23% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 25% | <1% | ||
| Clippers (36‑36) vs Raptors (40‑31) |
5 | Clippers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 26% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (47‑25) vs Pelicans (25‑47) |
1 | Knicks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 26% | 23% | <1% | ||
| Trail Blazers (36‑37) vs Bucks (29‑42) |
1 | Trail Blazers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Pacers (16‑56) vs Lakers (46‑26) |
0 | Pacers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Lakers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Jazz (21‑51) vs Wizards (16‑55) |
0 | Jazz Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Warriors (34‑38) vs Nets (17‑55) |
0 | Warriors Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||
| Nets Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 24% | <1% | ||