The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (40‑37) vs Wizards (17‑59) |
104 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 9% | 22% | 27% | 37% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 65% | ^ | ||
| Mavericks (24‑52) vs Magic (40‑36) |
48 | Mavericks Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 10% | 25% | 24% | 37% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Magic Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 28% | 44% | ^ | ||
| Pacers (18‑58) vs Hornets (41‑36) |
32 | Pacers Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 8% | 24% | 37% | 25% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 26% | 43% | ^ | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves (46‑30) vs Sixers (42‑34) |
19 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 26% | 40% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 6% | 21% | 28% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Grizzlies (25‑51) vs Raptors (42‑34) |
7 | Grizzlies Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 27% | 41% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Raptors Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 28% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Nets (18‑58) vs Hawks (44‑33) |
4 | Nets Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 4% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 42% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Knicks (49‑28) vs Bulls (29‑47) |
0 | Knicks Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Bucks (30‑46) vs Celtics (51‑25) |
0 | Bucks Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||
| Celtics Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 27% | 41% | ^ | ||