The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (39‑36) vs Sixers (41‑33) |
124 | Heat Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 24% | 30% | 19% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Sixers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 37% | 39% | ^ | ||
| Celtics (50‑24) vs Hawks (42‑33) |
17 | Celtics Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 31% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Hawks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 22% | 35% | 26% | ^ | ||
| Nets (18‑57) vs Hornets (39‑36) |
15 | Nets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 24% | 39% | 18% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Hornets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 28% | 32% | ^ | ||
| Jazz (21‑54) vs Cavaliers (46‑28) |
0 | Jazz Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 23% | 33% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 5% | 11% | 23% | 32% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Spurs (56‑18) vs Bulls (29‑45) |
0 | Spurs Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Bulls Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Thunder (59‑16) vs Pistons (54‑20) |
0 | Thunder Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Pistons Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Lakers (48‑26) vs Wizards (17‑57) |
0 | Lakers Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Wizards Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Rockets (45‑29) vs Knicks (48‑27) |
0 | Rockets Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||
| Knicks Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 27% | ^ | ||