The Most Important Games for the Heat are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Heat final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Heat fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Heat Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Heat (31‑27) vs Bucks (24‑31) |
61 | Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 10% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Lakers (34‑22) vs Magic (30‑26) |
14 | Lakers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Spurs (41‑16) vs Raptors (34‑24) |
9 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Celtics (37‑19) vs Suns (33‑25) |
2 | Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Thunder (45‑14) vs Pistons (42‑14) |
1 | Thunder Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ||