Based upon current play, Arizona makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Arizona makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona making the playoffs.
(12)Arizona wins 12 or more games
(12)Arizona plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(12)Arizona beats (38)Kansas St.
(12)Arizona opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 107 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 99 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 94 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | South Carolina (104) | SECSEC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Memphis (47) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Texas A&M (127) | SECSEC | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Arizona misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |