PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Arizona Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Arizona will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 49% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Arizona makes the playoffs 49% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (12)Arizona opponents win (SOS related)
Arizona Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 96 12 1 - - 100%
3 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 90 11 2 - - X
6 Stanford (103) ACCACC 89 11 2 - - X
7 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 84 11 2 - - X
8 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 82 11 2 - - X
9 Miami (81) ACCACC 82 10 2 - - X
10 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 81 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Arizona misses the playoffs 51% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (12)Arizona opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (12)Arizona does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
  • (39)Oklahoma St. wins out
  • (7)Baylor wins the Big 12 Championship
Arizona Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 108 13 0 - - 100%
2 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 103 12 1 - - 100%
3 Miami (81) ACCACC 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 1 - - X
6 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 92 12 1 - - X
7 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 87 9 3 - - X
8 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 86 11 2 - - X
9 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 84 11 2 - - X
10 Syracuse (90) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot