PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Arizona Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Arizona makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 88% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Arizona makes the playoffs 88% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Arizona Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 106 13 0 - - 100%
2 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 104 11 2 - - 100%
3 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 92 13 0 - - X
6 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 91 12 1 - - X
7 Wyoming (14) Mountain WestMntn West 91 11 2 - - X
8 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 91 10 3 - - X
9 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 90 11 1 - - X
10 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 89 10 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Arizona misses the playoffs 12% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arizona missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (12)Arizona opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (39)Oklahoma St. wins the Big 12 Championship
  • (1)W. Kentucky wins out
Arizona Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 102 11 2 - - 100%
3 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 91 11 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 90 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 89 11 1 - - X
6 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 87 13 0 - - X
7 Kent State (15) MACMAC 87 9 3 - - X
8 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 10 2 - - X
9 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 1 - - X
10 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 84 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot