If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas St. makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas St. making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 109 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Ole Miss (110) | SECSEC | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | South Carolina (104) | SECSEC | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida (84) | SECSEC | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas St. misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas St. missing the playoffs.
(6)Arkansas St. opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UConn (125) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Colorado (58) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |