If it loses one of its remaining games, Virginia will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 48% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Virginia makes the playoffs 48% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Virginia making the playoffs.
(78)Virginia opponents win (SOS related)
(78)Virginia plays in the ACC Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 92 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Maryland (105) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UCLA (101) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 86 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Virginia misses the playoffs 52% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Virginia missing the playoffs.
(78)Virginia opponents lose (SOS related)
(78)Virginia does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(97)Florida St. wins 12 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 112 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 99 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 90 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ole Miss (110) | SECSEC | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |