If it wins its remaining games, Virginia makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Virginia makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Virginia making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Memphis (47) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 12 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Virginia misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Virginia missing the playoffs.
(78)Virginia opponents lose (SOS related)
(78)Virginia does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(87)California wins the ACC Championship
(106)N.C. State wins the ACC Championship
(87)California wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 106 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 88 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | California (87) | ACCACC | 87 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida Atlantic (63) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |