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Sat Oct 31 4:45 am

NHL - Week 5 of 28

Devils What If?

The Devils What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Devils play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Devils What If?

Next Game - Oilers (9‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 5 0 20 20% 18% 16% - - - 6% 6% 35%
Current Standings 9 5 0 18 19% 18% 15% - - - 6% 6% 37%
Lose Next Game 9 6 0 18 17% 17% 15% - - - 6% 6% 39%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 19% 18% 15% - - - 6% 5% 37%
Current Standings 19% 18% 15% - - - 6% 6% 37%
Worst Case Scenario 18% 17% 15% - - - 6% 6% 38%
Best Case Scenario
   Jets beats Hurricanes
Worst Case Scenario
   Hurricanes beats Jets
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
70 of 70 100% 79 5 0 158 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 70 86% 69 15 0 138 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 70 81% 66 18 0 132 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 70 80% 65 19 0 130 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 70 79% 64 20 0 128 87% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 70 77% 63 21 0 126 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 70 76% 62 22 0 124 77% 22% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 70 74% 61 23 0 122 71% 27% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 70 73% 60 24 0 120 63% 32% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 70 71% 59 25 0 118 56% 37% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 70 70% 58 26 0 116 49% 41% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
48 of 70 69% 57 27 0 114 41% 44% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
47 of 70 67% 56 28 0 112 35% 46% 17% - - - 2% <1% <1%
46 of 70 66% 55 29 0 110 28% 46% 22% - - - 4% <1% <1%
45 of 70 64% 54 30 0 108 22% 44% 28% - - - 6% 1% <1%
44 of 70 63% 53 31 0 106 16% 43% 32% - - - 8% 1% <1%
43 of 70 61% 52 32 0 104 13% 38% 35% - - - 11% 2% <1%
42 of 70 60% 51 33 0 102 9% 34% 37% - - - 15% 4% <1%
41 of 70 59% 50 34 0 100 6% 29% 40% - - - 18% 6% 1%
40 of 70 57% 49 35 0 98 5% 23% 39% - - - 20% 10% 3%
39 of 70 56% 48 36 0 96 3% 20% 36% - - - 21% 15% 6%
38 of 70 54% 47 37 0 94 2% 14% 35% - - - 19% 19% 12%
37 of 70 53% 46 38 0 92 1% 11% 31% - - - 17% 21% 19%
36 of 70 51% 45 39 0 90 1% 8% 26% - - - 14% 23% 29%
35 of 70 50% 44 40 0 88 <1% 5% 22% - - - 10% 22% 41%
34 of 70 49% 43 41 0 86 <1% 3% 17% - - - 6% 19% 55%
33 of 70 47% 42 42 0 84 <1% 2% 13% - - - 3% 14% 67%
32 of 70 46% 41 43 0 82 <1% 1% 9% - - - 2% 10% 78%
31 of 70 44% 40 44 0 80 <1% 1% 7% - - - 1% 6% 86%
30 of 70 43% 39 45 0 78 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 3% 92%
20 of 70 29% 29 55 0 58 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 70 14% 19 65 0 38 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 70 0% 9 75 0 18 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs