The Most Important Games for the UL Monroe Warhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UL Monroe Warhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UL Monroe Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UL Monroe (1‑6) vs South Alabama (6‑1) |
38 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 28% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑4) vs Coastal Carolina (4‑3) |
3 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| James Madison (5‑3) vs Old Dominion (3‑5) |
3 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 28% | ||
| Marshall (5‑2) vs Troy (5‑4) |
2 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑7) vs Southern Miss (4‑3) |
2 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Texas State (6‑3) vs Arkansas St. (5‑3) |
1 | Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Georgia Southern (3‑5) vs Georgia St. (1‑7) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 27% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 29% | ||