The Most Important Games for the UL Monroe Warhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UL Monroe Warhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UL Monroe Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UL Monroe (3‑9) vs LA Lafayette (1‑10) |
30 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 35% | ||
| Arkansas St. (7‑4) vs Southern Miss (7‑5) |
4 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 24% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (8‑5) vs Georgia St. (2‑10) |
3 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 22% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 28% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (6‑6) vs Old Dominion (4‑8) |
3 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Georgia Southern (9‑5) vs James Madison (7‑5) |
2 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Troy (6‑5) vs Marshall (7‑4) |
1 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 25% | ||
| South Alabama (9‑3) vs Texas State (7‑6) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 25% | ||