The Most Important Games for the UL Monroe Warhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UL Monroe Warhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UL Monroe Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UL Monroe (3‑13) vs LA Lafayette (3‑12) |
3 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 28% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 80% | ||
| Troy (9‑5) vs Arkansas St. (9‑5) |
0 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 69% | ||
| Marshall (10‑5) vs James Madison (8‑7) |
0 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| Georgia Southern (12‑5) vs South Alabama (11‑5) |
0 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 69% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (9‑7) vs Georgia St. (5‑11) |
0 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 70% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑8) vs Old Dominion (4‑12) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 18% | 70% | ||
| Texas State (9‑7) vs Southern Miss (9‑7) |
0 | Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 69% | ||