The Most Important Games for the UL Monroe Warhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UL Monroe Warhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UL Monroe Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Marshall (15‑8) vs Old Dominion (7‑17) |
0 | Marshall Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Georgia Southern (13‑11) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (16‑9) |
0 | Georgia Southern Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Georgia St. (9‑15) vs James Madison (11‑13) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| James Madison Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (14‑11) vs LA Lafayette (8‑16) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Southern Miss (12‑13) vs South Alabama (16‑7) |
0 | Southern Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Texas State (14‑11) vs Troy (16‑8) |
0 | Texas State Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Troy Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑19) vs Arkansas St. (14‑10) |
0 | UL Monroe Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||