The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| California (5‑1) vs Stanford (6‑0) |
30 | California Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑2) vs Notre Dame (4‑1) |
3 | Syracuse Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Virginia (3‑2) vs SMU (4‑2) |
2 | Virginia Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| SMU Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑2) vs Pittsburgh (6‑1) |
2 | Virginia Tech Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑3) vs North Carolina (3‑1) |
2 | Georgia Tech Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Clemson (4‑1) vs Miami (3‑3) |
2 | Clemson Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Miami Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Boston College (4‑1) vs Wake Forest (6‑1) |
1 | Boston College Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Florida St. (6‑1) vs N.C. State (5‑0) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Duke (4‑1) vs Louisville (3‑1) |
0 | Duke Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||