Where are the Louisville Cardinals going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Louisville standings table presents the probabilities of the Cardinals winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 8i Duke Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ California 71-56 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Stanford 80-50 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Wake Forest 90-69 Won Mon, Jan 26 vs Louisville 83-52 Sat, Jan 31 @ Virginia Tech Tue, Feb 03 vs Boston College Sat, Feb 07 @ North Carolina Tue, Feb 10 @ Pittsburgh |
0 | 8 | 77% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Clemson | 7 Clemson Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Boston College 74-50 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Miami 69-59 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs N.C. State 76-80 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Tech 77-63 Sat, Jan 31 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Feb 04 @ Stanford Sat, Feb 07 @ California Wed, Feb 11 vs Virginia Tech |
1 | 8 | 9% | 26% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia | 6 Virginia Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Louisville 79-70 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ SMU 72-68 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs North Carolina 80-85 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Notre Dame 100-97 Sat, Jan 31 @ Boston College Tue, Feb 03 vs Pittsburgh Sat, Feb 07 vs Syracuse Tue, Feb 10 @ Florida St. |
2 | 8 | 11% | 34% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| N.C. State | 6 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Georgia Tech 74-78 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Clemson 80-76 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Pittsburgh 81-72 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Syracuse 88-68 Sat, Jan 31 @ Wake Forest Tue, Feb 03 @ SMU Sat, Feb 07 vs Virginia Tech Mon, Feb 09 @ Louisville |
2 | 8 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Miami | 5 Miami Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Notre Dame 81-69 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Clemson 59-69 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Florida St. 63-65 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Syracuse 85-76 Wed, Jan 28 vs Stanford Sat, Jan 31 vs California Sat, Feb 07 @ Boston College Tue, Feb 10 vs North Carolina |
2 | 7 | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Tech | 5 Virginia Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Notre Dame 89-76 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Syracuse 76-74 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Louisville 71-85 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Georgia Tech 71-65 Sat, Jan 31 vs Duke Sat, Feb 07 @ N.C. State Wed, Feb 11 @ Clemson Sat, Feb 14 vs Florida St. |
4 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SMU | 4 SMU Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Virginia Tech 77-76 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Virginia 68-72 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Wake Forest 91-79 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Florida St. 83-80 Sat, Jan 31 @ Louisville Tue, Feb 03 vs N.C. State Sat, Feb 07 @ Pittsburgh Tue, Feb 10 vs Notre Dame |
3 | 7 | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| North Carolina | 4 North Carolina Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Stanford 90-95 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ California 78-84 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Notre Dame 91-69 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Virginia 85-80 Sat, Jan 31 @ Georgia Tech Mon, Feb 02 vs Syracuse Sat, Feb 07 vs Duke Tue, Feb 10 @ Miami |
3 | 7 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Louisville | 4 Louisville Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs Virginia 70-79 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Pittsburgh 100-59 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Virginia Tech 85-71 Lost Mon, Jan 26 @ Duke 52-83 Sat, Jan 31 vs SMU Wed, Feb 04 vs Notre Dame Sat, Feb 07 @ Wake Forest Mon, Feb 09 vs N.C. State |
4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| California | 3 California Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Virginia Tech 75-78 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Duke 56-71 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs North Carolina 84-78 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Stanford 78-66 Wed, Jan 28 @ Florida St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Miami Wed, Feb 04 vs Georgia Tech Sat, Feb 07 vs Clemson |
4 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Stanford | 3 Stanford Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Virginia 55-70 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs North Carolina 95-90 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Duke 50-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs California 66-78 Wed, Jan 28 @ Miami Sat, Jan 31 @ Florida St. Wed, Feb 04 vs Clemson Sat, Feb 07 vs Georgia Tech |
4 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Syracuse | 3 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Boston College 73-81 Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs Virginia Tech 74-76 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Miami 76-85 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ N.C. State 68-88 Sat, Jan 31 vs Notre Dame Mon, Feb 02 @ North Carolina Sat, Feb 07 @ Virginia Wed, Feb 11 vs California |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
| Boston College | 2 Boston College Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Clemson 50-74 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Syracuse 81-73 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Pittsburgh 65-62 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Notre Dame 64-68 Sat, Jan 31 vs Virginia Tue, Feb 03 @ Duke Sat, Feb 07 vs Miami Wed, Feb 11 vs Stanford |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 59% |
| Pittsburgh | 2 Pittsburgh Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Louisville 59-100 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Boston College 62-65 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs N.C. State 72-81 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Wake Forest 80-76 Sat, Jan 31 @ Clemson Tue, Feb 03 @ Virginia Sat, Feb 07 vs SMU Tue, Feb 10 vs Duke |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 63% |
| Georgia Tech | 2 Georgia Tech Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Pittsburgh 66-89 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ N.C. State 78-74 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Clemson 63-77 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Virginia Tech 65-71 Sat, Jan 31 vs North Carolina Wed, Feb 04 @ California Sat, Feb 07 @ Stanford Wed, Feb 11 vs Wake Forest |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 48% |
| Wake Forest | 2 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Florida St. 69-68 Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs SMU 79-91 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Duke 69-90 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Pittsburgh 76-80 Sat, Jan 31 vs N.C. State Sat, Feb 07 vs Louisville Wed, Feb 11 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Feb 14 vs Stanford |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 22% |
| Notre Dame | 2 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Virginia Tech 76-89 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ North Carolina 69-91 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Boston College 68-64 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Virginia 97-100 Sat, Jan 31 @ Syracuse Wed, Feb 04 @ Louisville Sat, Feb 07 vs Florida St. Tue, Feb 10 @ SMU |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 19% |
| Florida St. | 1 Florida St. Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Syracuse 86-94 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Wake Forest 68-69 Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Miami 65-63 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ SMU 80-83 Wed, Jan 28 vs California Sat, Jan 31 vs Stanford Sat, Feb 07 @ Notre Dame Tue, Feb 10 vs Virginia |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 66% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 60% | ||
| (12)Syracuse | 3 | 5 | 7% |
| (17)Notre Dame | 2 | 6 | 6% |
| (16)Wake Forest | 2 | 6 | 6% |
| (15)Georgia Tech | 2 | 6 | 5% |
| (13)Boston College | 2 | 5 | 4% |
| (14)Pittsburgh | 2 | 6 | 4% |
| (18)Florida St. | 1 | 6 | 3% |
| (11)Stanford | 3 | 4 | 2% |
| (10)California | 3 | 4 | 1% |
| (6)Virginia Tech | 5 | 4 | 1% |
| (4)N.C. State | 6 | 2 | <1% |
| (8)North Carolina | 4 | 3 | <1% |
| (5)Miami | 5 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)SMU | 4 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)Clemson | 7 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Virginia | 6 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Duke | 8 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | 1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | California (15‑5) |
90‑70 | Away | Tue Dec 30, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | Stanford (14‑6) |
76‑80 | Away | Fri Jan 2, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Duke (19‑1) |
73‑84 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Boston College (9‑11) |
75‑62 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Virginia (17‑3) |
70‑79 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Pittsburgh (9‑12) |
100‑59 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Virginia Tech (16‑6) |
85‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 3:30 pm |
| 13 | Duke (19‑1) |
52‑83 | Away | Mon Jan 26, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | SMU (15‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | Notre Dame (11‑10) |
Home | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Wake Forest (11‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 12:00 pm | |
| 15 | N.C. State (15‑6) |
Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | SMU (15‑5) |
Away | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Georgia Tech (11‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 2:15 pm | |
| 17 | North Carolina (16‑4) |
Away | Mon Feb 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Clemson (17‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, TBD | |
| 18 | Syracuse (12‑9) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Miami (16‑4) |
Away | Sat Mar 7, 2:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Carolina St. (5‑16) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 104‑45 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Jackson St. (6‑14) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 106‑70 | Home | Thu Nov 6 |
| 2 | Kentucky (14‑6) |
SECSEC | 96‑88 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Ohio (11‑11) |
MACMAC | 106‑81 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Cincinnati (10‑10) |
Big 12Big 12 | 74‑64 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan (9‑12) |
MACMAC | 87‑46 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | NJIT (9‑12) |
America EastAmerica East | 104‑47 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Arkansas (16‑5) |
SECSEC | 80‑89 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 7:15 pm |
| 5 | Indiana (13‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 87‑78 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Memphis (9‑10) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 99‑73 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 3:30 pm |
| 7 | Tennessee (13‑6) |
SECSEC | 62‑83 | Away | Tue Dec 16, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Montana (12‑9) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 94‑54 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 12:00 pm |
| 15 | Baylor (11‑8) |
Big 12Big 12 | Away | Sat Feb 14, 4:00 pm |